riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Butte County Disaster Risk

Butte County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

94th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#32

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

93th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Butte County, California

Butte faces above-average national disaster risk

Butte County's composite risk score of 93.92 exceeds the national average, placing it in the relatively moderate-to-high category nationally. The county's exposure stems from significant wildfire, earthquake, and flood hazards characteristic of Northern California's geography.

Above California's average, but not extreme

Butte's score of 93.92 edges above California's state average of 88.72, ranking the county in the upper-middle tier of statewide risk. While this positions Butte as more exposed than many California communities, it remains less threatened than Bay Area counties like Alameda or Contra Costa.

Moderate risk compared to Sierra peers

Butte County (93.92) faces higher composite risk than Amador (79.20) and Calaveras (86.61), reflecting its larger footprint and proximity to the Central Valley. Del Norte County (94.43) to the north presents nearly identical threat levels.

Wildfire and flood dominate your hazard profile

Wildfire risk (98.54) and flood risk (93.23) are Butte's primary concerns, with earthquake risk (97.49) also significant. The 2018 Camp Fire tragedy underscores the catastrophic potential of the county's elevated wildfire exposure.

Comprehensive wildfire and flood coverage essential

Butte residents must secure separate wildfire and flood insurance, as standard policies exclude both hazards. Given recent fire history, maintaining defensible space around your home and staying current on evacuation routes are equally critical investments.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Butte County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    93th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Butte County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 94th percentile, Butte County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Butte County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Butte County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (93th percentile), tornado (28th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Butte County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. The county's earthquake exposure at the 97th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Butte County residents.

Regional Context

At 5.2 points above the California state average, Butte County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical California county.

Is your household prepared for Butte County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Butte County, CA?
Butte County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 94th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Butte County?
Butte County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (99th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (93th percentile), tornado (28th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Butte County risk compare to the California average?
Butte County's composite risk percentile is 94th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Butte County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Butte County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Butte County's wildfire risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Butte County is at the 93th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Butte County higher risk than average?
Butte County's composite risk score of 94th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.