riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Shasta County Disaster Risk

Shasta County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#33

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Shasta County, California

Shasta faces moderate to high disaster risk

Shasta County scores 93.38 on composite risk, placing it above the national average with a 'Relatively Moderate' rating. The county's risk is concentrated in wildfire and flood hazards, rather than the seismic threats dominating coastal California.

Above average for California overall

Shasta's 93.38 score exceeds California's average of 88.72, reflecting significant exposure to fire and flood. However, the county ranks lower than most coastal counties due to moderate earthquake risk relative to the state's seismically active regions.

Slightly riskier than northern peers

Shasta (93.38) faces higher overall risk than Siskiyou County (89.03) but lower risk than more seismically active regions to the south. The county's wildfire risk (99.49) is among the state's highest, reflecting its position in California's fire-prone north.

Wildfire and flood are primary threats

Shasta's wildfire risk reaches 99.49—among California's highest—while flood risk scores 94.85, affecting both forest and valley communities. Earthquake risk (96.53) is moderate but significant, particularly near active fault zones in the county's eastern areas.

Wildfire and flood insurance top priority

Shasta residents should secure wildfire insurance immediately, given the county's 99.49 risk score and history of large fires. Flood insurance is equally important, particularly for properties near the Sacramento River, creeks, or designated flood zones.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Shasta County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Shasta County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Shasta County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 93th. Shasta County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Shasta County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (95th percentile), tornado (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for wildfire, Shasta County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 97th percentile nationally means Shasta County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Shasta County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

Shasta County's composite risk score is within 4.7 points of the California county average — a close alignment that reflects a broadly representative hazard environment for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Shasta County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Shasta County, CA?
Shasta County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Shasta County?
Shasta County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (99th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (95th percentile), tornado (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Shasta County risk compare to the California average?
Shasta County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Shasta County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Shasta County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Shasta County's wildfire risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Shasta County is at the 95th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Shasta County higher risk than average?
Shasta County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.