riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Contra Costa County Disaster Risk

Contra Costa County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Very High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#9

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

99th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Contra Costa County, California

Contra Costa ranks among nation's riskiest

Contra Costa County's composite risk score of 99.49 places it in the very high category—among the most hazard-exposed counties in the United States. This extreme rating reflects the county's position on the San Andreas Fault system and proximity to urban flood hazards.

Nearly tied with Alameda as California's riskiest

Contra Costa's score of 99.49 nearly matches Alameda County (99.78) and dramatically exceeds California's state average of 88.72. These two Bay Area counties form the state's highest-risk tier, separated from all others by their catastrophic earthquake and flood exposure.

Extremely high risk shared with Alameda

Contra Costa (99.49) and Alameda (99.78) dominate the regional risk landscape, facing nearly identical hazard profiles. Both counties' proximity to the San Francisco Bay and major fault lines create this exceptional vulnerability, far exceeding inland neighbors like Amador (79.20).

Earthquake and flood define existential risks

Earthquake risk scores 99.75 in Contra Costa County, while flood risk reaches 99.49—nearly identical peaks reflecting Bay Area geographic reality. Wildfire risk (97.58) completes the triumvirate of severe hazards requiring comprehensive household preparedness.

Triple coverage critical for Bay Area safety

Contra Costa residents must obtain earthquake insurance, flood insurance, and wildfire coverage—none covered by standard homeowners policies. These three protections are non-negotiable investments given the county's extreme exposure across all major natural disaster types.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Contra Costa County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    99th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Contra Costa County

Risk Verdict

Contra Costa County is among the most disaster-exposed counties in the United States, scoring at the 99th percentile under FEMA's National Risk Index. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Contra Costa County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 99th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (98th percentile), tornado (50th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake risk is Contra Costa County's leading natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally. Securing tall furniture, water heaters, and bookcases to walls with anti-tip hardware is among the simplest and most effective life-safety measures households can take. The county's flood risk at the 99th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. Contra Costa County residents should locate the main gas shutoff valve and keep an appropriate wrench nearby — gas leaks cause a significant share of earthquake-related injuries and fires, and the shutoff step is safe to take immediately after shaking stops.

Regional Context

Contra Costa County's composite risk score sits 10.8 points above the California county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Contra Costa County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Contra Costa County, CA?
Contra Costa County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Contra Costa County?
Contra Costa County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (100th percentile), flooding (99th percentile), wildfire (98th percentile), tornado (50th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Contra Costa County risk compare to the California average?
Contra Costa County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Contra Costa County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Contra Costa County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Contra Costa County's earthquake risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Contra Costa County is at the 99th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Contra Costa County higher risk than average?
Contra Costa County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.