riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Kern County Disaster Risk

Kern County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Kern County, California

Kern County faces highest national risk

Kern County's composite risk score of 98.89 places it in the 'Relatively High' category, well above the national average. The county ranks among America's most hazard-exposed regions, experiencing extreme exposure to earthquakes, floods, and wildfires. This critical rating demands comprehensive, ongoing disaster preparedness from all Kern residents and businesses.

Kern ranks among California's riskiest counties

Kern's 98.89 score substantially exceeds California's 88.72 average, placing it in the very top tier of the state's 58 counties. The county's wildfire risk of 99.75 is among the state's absolute highest, while earthquake risk reaches 99.43. This exceptional ranking reflects Kern's convergence of multiple extreme natural hazards.

Kern rivals state's highest-risk counties

Kern's 98.89 score ranks among the very highest in California, nearly matching Fresno (99.30) and exceeding all other neighbors including Kings (92.43), Inyo (79.33), and Tulare. The county's extreme wildfire (99.75) and earthquake (99.43) scores are among California's worst. Kern stands as one of the state's most hazard-exposed regions, comparable only to a handful of peers.

Wildfire and earthquake present extreme danger

Kern's wildfire risk scores 99.75—among the state's absolute highest—while earthquake risk reaches 99.43, creating a dual extreme hazard. Flood risk also scores extremely high at 98.47, completing a trifecta of major threats. These three near-maximum hazard scores make Kern one of California's most perilous natural disaster environments.

Comprehensive insurance is absolutely critical

Kern residents must obtain earthquake, wildfire, and flood insurance—all three are essential given the county's extreme scores across each hazard. Standard homeowners policies exclude all three, making separate coverage non-negotiable for anyone with property worth protecting. Building complete insurance protection now is the single most important step Kern residents can take.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Kern County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    99th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Kern County

Risk Verdict

Kern County ranks in the top tier for natural disaster risk nationally, with a composite score at the 99th percentile. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Kern County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 99th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (98th percentile), tornado (20th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Kern County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in Kern County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 99th percentile nationally means Kern County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Kern County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

Compared to other California counties, Kern County runs 10.2 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Kern County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Kern County, CA?
Kern County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Kern County?
Kern County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (100th percentile), earthquake (99th percentile), flooding (98th percentile), tornado (20th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Kern County risk compare to the California average?
Kern County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Kern County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Kern County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Kern County's wildfire risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Kern County is at the 98th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Kern County higher risk than average?
Kern County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (100th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.