riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Monterey County Disaster Risk

Monterey County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#16

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

97th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Monterey County, California

Monterey: High Risk Compared to Nation

Monterey County's composite risk score of 98.73 ranks it as relatively high and well above the national average. This coastal agricultural region faces significant exposure to earthquakes, floods, wildfires, and even tornadoes.

Among California's Highest-Risk Counties

Monterey scores 98.73—nearly 10 points above California's state average of 88.72—placing it in the upper tier of state risk. Its position on the coast and atop the San Andreas Fault zone makes it particularly vulnerable.

Riskier Than Most Regional Peers

Monterey's score of 98.73 exceeds neighboring San Luis Obispo and Santa Cruz counties in overall composite risk. Its combination of coastal exposure, seismic activity, and wildland interface creates compounding hazards.

Earthquake, Flood, and Fire All Major Threats

Monterey faces an exceptional earthquake risk of 99.40, the highest of any hazard, paired with flood risk of 97.30 and wildfire risk of 98.66. Even tornado risk is elevated at 28.66, well above most California counties.

Comprehensive Coverage Is Non-Negotiable

Monterey homeowners should secure earthquake insurance, flood insurance (especially in coastal and low-lying areas), and wildfire/fire protection. These three hazards account for the bulk of your county's risk; standard homeowners policies will not cover earthquake or flood damage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Monterey County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    97th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Monterey County

Risk Verdict

With a national rank of 99th percentile, Monterey County faces above-average natural disaster pressure across several hazard categories. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Monterey County.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Monterey County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 99th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (97th percentile), tornado (29th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Monterey County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 99th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. Wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Monterey County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. After a major earthquake, Monterey County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

Monterey County falls 10.0 points above California's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Monterey County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Monterey County, CA?
Monterey County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Monterey County?
Monterey County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (99th percentile), wildfire (99th percentile), flooding (97th percentile), tornado (29th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Monterey County risk compare to the California average?
Monterey County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Monterey County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Monterey County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Monterey County's earthquake risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Monterey County is at the 97th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Monterey County higher risk than average?
Monterey County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (99th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.