riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

San Bernardino County Disaster Risk

San Bernardino County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Very High

National Percentile

100th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

100th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in San Bernardino County, California

San Bernardino faces extreme nationwide disaster risk

San Bernardino County's composite risk score of 99.84 represents "Very High" risk and approaches the absolute maximum, far exceeding typical U.S. county hazard levels. This score surpasses California's average of 88.72 by a massive margin, indicating exceptional multi-hazard exposure.

Most dangerous county in California

San Bernardino ranks as California's highest-risk county overall, with near-maximal scores in four major hazard categories: earthquakes (99.84), wildfires (99.90), and floods (99.84). Only Riverside County rivals its overall threat level.

Equally dangerous as Riverside, deadlier than most

San Bernardino (99.84) matches Riverside County's extreme risk and dramatically exceeds San Benito (85.24) and San Luis Obispo (95.90). The Inland Empire's two largest counties form California's most disaster-prone region.

Earthquakes, wildfires, floods all extreme

San Bernardino residents face nearly identical threats in three major categories: earthquakes (99.84), wildfires (99.90), and floods (99.84)—all scoring at or near maximum. The county has experienced devastating wildfires in recent years while remaining on major earthquake fault lines.

Triple insurance: earthquake, wildfire, and flood

San Bernardino homeowners absolutely must add earthquake and wildfire riders to standard policies, then verify flood coverage—these three hazards alone require comprehensive protection. Given the county's extreme exposure, these additions are not optional but essential.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in San Bernardino County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    100th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    100th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: San Bernardino County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's composite risk model places San Bernardino County at the 100th percentile nationally — one of the country's highest natural hazard exposure zones. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is San Bernardino County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 100th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (100th percentile), tornado (79th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

San Bernardino County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in San Bernardino County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. A secondary flood exposure at the 100th percentile nationally means San Bernardino County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. San Bernardino County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

Compared to other California counties, San Bernardino County runs 11.1 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for San Bernardino County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in San Bernardino County, CA?
San Bernardino County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High, placing it in the 100th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect San Bernardino County?
San Bernardino County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (100th percentile), flooding (100th percentile), earthquake (100th percentile), tornado (79th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does San Bernardino County risk compare to the California average?
San Bernardino County's composite risk percentile is 100th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means San Bernardino County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is San Bernardino County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, San Bernardino County's wildfire risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, San Bernardino County is at the 100th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is San Bernardino County higher risk than average?
San Bernardino County's composite risk score of 100th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.