riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hillsborough County Disaster Risk

Hillsborough County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#6

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hillsborough County, Florida

Hillsborough faces the highest national risks

Hillsborough County's composite risk score of 98.82 ranks it in the Relatively High category and places it among the riskiest counties in the entire United States. This exceptional score reflects the Tampa Bay area's exposure to virtually every natural hazard type.

Florida's most hazard-exposed county

Hillsborough County's 98.82 score significantly exceeds Florida's state average of 75.74, ranking it as one of the state's highest-risk communities. The county faces compounding risks across hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and wildfires—a uniquely challenging profile.

Far exceeds Tampa Bay regional peers

Hillsborough's 98.82 is substantially higher than neighboring Pinellas and Pasco counties, making it the most hazard-exposed county in the Tampa Bay region. This elevated score reflects the county's coastal position, inland flood vulnerability, and exposure to tornado corridors.

Tornadoes, hurricanes, and floods all extreme

Hillsborough faces extraordinary exposure across nearly every hazard: tornado risk (99.65), hurricane risk (99.29), and flood risk (97.77) all exceed the 97th percentile nationally. Even wildfire risk (95.67) and earthquake risk (68.54) substantially exceed typical U.S. levels.

Max out all available coverage immediately

Hillsborough County residents face extreme multi-hazard risk and must secure the most comprehensive insurance available: full wind coverage for hurricanes (99.29 risk), dedicated flood insurance given 97.77 flood risk, and tornado coverage documentation. Consider structural upgrades like safe rooms, impact windows, and elevated mechanical systems—standard precautions are insufficient given your 98.82 composite risk score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hillsborough County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    99th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hillsborough County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index places Hillsborough County at the 99th percentile nationally — in the high-risk bracket for U.S. counties. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Hillsborough County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 99th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (98th percentile), wildfire (96th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 100th percentile nationally, Hillsborough County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. The secondary hurricane hazard at the 99th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Hillsborough County's preparedness calendar, since hurricane and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. For Hillsborough County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Hillsborough County is 23.1 composite risk points above the Florida average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Hillsborough County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hillsborough County, FL?
Hillsborough County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hillsborough County?
Hillsborough County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (100th percentile), hurricane (99th percentile), flooding (98th percentile), wildfire (96th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hillsborough County risk compare to the Florida average?
Hillsborough County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Hillsborough County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is Hillsborough County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Hillsborough County's tornado risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hillsborough County is at the 98th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hillsborough County higher risk than average?
Hillsborough County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (100th percentile), along with hurricane and flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.