riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Leon County Disaster Risk

Leon County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#24

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Leon County, Florida

Leon County's disaster risk exceeds national norms

Leon County's composite risk score of 93.35 with a 'Relatively Moderate' rating significantly outpaces the national average. The county experiences elevated exposure across hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods—a trio of hazards that makes year-round disaster awareness essential.

Second-riskiest county in Florida

Leon County's score of 93.35 exceeds Florida's state average of 75.74 and ranks among the state's top hazard-exposure counties. Only Lee County (99.05) outpaces Leon, making it the second-most vulnerable county in the state.

Part of Florida's highest-risk cluster

Leon County's 93.35 score aligns with Lake County (91.92) and reflects the elevated risk running through central and northern Florida. The neighboring patterns suggest a regional vulnerability corridor affecting multiple population centers across the state.

Tornadoes and hurricanes dominate the threat profile

Leon County residents face tornado risk at 97.11 and hurricane risk at 97.12—nearly identical extreme exposures across both hazards. Flood risk at 91.51 adds a third significant threat, creating a multi-season disaster environment.

Multi-hazard insurance and hardening are critical

Leon County homeowners should secure wind/hurricane insurance, understand flood risk in their specific neighborhoods, and consider community shelter plans for tornado season. Strengthening garage doors, securing roof attachments, and identifying safe interior rooms provide life-saving protection when warnings activate.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Leon County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Leon County

Risk Verdict

Leon County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 93th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Leon County.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Leon County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (92th percentile), wildfire (90th percentile), earthquake (67th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Leon County's primary hazard, hurricane, ranks at the 97th percentile nationally. Having a designated out-of-area contact, a pre-packed go-bag with medications and documents, and a confirmed evacuation route reduces decision-making load when a storm intensifies rapidly. Leon County's tornado exposure at the 97th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. The National Hurricane Center's official forecast cone and local NWS office watches and warnings are the authoritative sources for Leon County storm tracking; households benefit from bookmarking these before storm season rather than relying on social media during an event.

Regional Context

Leon County falls 17.6 points above Florida's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Leon County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Leon County, FL?
Leon County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Leon County?
Leon County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (97th percentile), tornado (97th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), wildfire (90th percentile), earthquake (67th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Leon County risk compare to the Florida average?
Leon County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Leon County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is Leon County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Leon County's hurricane risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Leon County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Leon County higher risk than average?
Leon County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (97th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.