riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bear Lake County Disaster Risk

Bear Lake County, Idaho

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

7th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#39

of 44 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

7th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 7% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bear Lake County, Idaho

Bear Lake County has exceptionally low risk

Bear Lake County's composite risk score of just 6.58 places it among the safest counties in the nation, far below the national average of 50. This extraordinary safety profile reflects minimal exposure to most major natural hazards, making it one of America's lowest-risk jurisdictions.

Idaho's safest county by a wide margin

Bear Lake County's score of 6.58 is dramatically lower than Idaho's state average of 38.51—a 5.8x difference that makes it the state's clear safety leader. No other Idaho county comes close to matching this exceptionally low-risk profile.

Bear Lake far safer than regional peers

Bear Lake County's 6.58 score is a fraction of Bannock County's 66.89 and Bingham County's 60.15, positioning it as a remarkable outlier in southeastern Idaho. Its isolation and location provide natural protection from multiple hazard categories.

Earthquake is the only moderate concern

Bear Lake County's earthquake risk of 68.89 is its highest hazard score, though still below state average for this threat. Wildfire (78.37), flood (7.22), and tornado risks are all exceptionally low, making this county one of Idaho's true safe havens.

Earthquake coverage is your priority

While Bear Lake County enjoys exceptional overall safety, earthquake insurance should be your primary consideration given a 68.89 risk score in this category. Standard homeowners insurance is generally sufficient for other hazards in this remarkably low-risk county.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bear Lake County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    78th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    69th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    7th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bear Lake County

Risk Verdict

Bear Lake County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 7th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. Being ranked at the 7th percentile nationally is an advantage for Bear Lake County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Bear Lake County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 78th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 69th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (7th percentile), tornado (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Bear Lake County's primary hazard at the 78th percentile nationally. For Bear Lake County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 69th percentile nationally means Bear Lake County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Bear Lake County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the Idaho county average, Bear Lake County's composite score runs 31.9 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Bear Lake County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bear Lake County, ID?
Bear Lake County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 7th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bear Lake County?
Bear Lake County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (78th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), flooding (7th percentile), tornado (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 78th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bear Lake County risk compare to the Idaho average?
Bear Lake County's composite risk percentile is 7th, compared to the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Bear Lake County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Idaho.
Is Bear Lake County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Bear Lake County's wildfire risk is at the 78th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Bear Lake County is at the 7th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Bear Lake County a safe place to live?
Bear Lake County's composite risk score of 7th percentile is below the Idaho state average of 39th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 78th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.