riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McLean County Disaster Risk

McLean County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

87th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

85th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McLean County, Illinois

McLean faces elevated risk statewide

McLean County's composite risk score of 86.90 places it in the Relatively Moderate category, significantly above Illinois's state average of 54.46. This positions McLean among the state's higher-risk counties for natural disasters.

High-risk county in central Illinois

McLean County ranks among Illinois's most at-risk counties, with particularly high tornado (89.57), flood (85.18), and earthquake (82.25) scores. Only its wildfire risk of 8.87 remains low, making it vulnerable across most hazard types.

Significantly riskier than peers

McLean County's composite score of 86.90 is comparable to McHenry County (90.78) and substantially higher than neighboring Mason County (43.03) and Marshall County (27.23). This makes McLean a notable hot spot in central Illinois.

Tornadoes, flooding, and earthquakes threaten

McLean County residents face exceptional tornado risk (89.57) and significant flood risk (85.18), coupled with moderate-to-high earthquake exposure (82.25). These three hazards collectively create a complex risk landscape requiring multi-layered preparedness.

Comprehensive coverage is essential

McLean County's high composite risk score demands robust insurance protection including flood coverage and separate earthquake insurance, as standard policies exclude both. Ensure your home has adequate shelter infrastructure and that your family has a detailed emergency action plan.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McLean County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    90th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    85th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    82th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McLean County

Risk Verdict

McLean County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 87th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in McLean County.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is McLean County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 85th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (82th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

McLean County's primary hazard, tornado, ranks at the 90th percentile nationally. In McLean County, mobile homes and manufactured housing face significantly higher tornado risk than site-built structures; residents in these homes should identify the nearest permanent community shelter in advance. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 85th percentile nationally means McLean County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. The highest-risk window for tornado fatalities is overnight, when McLean County residents may be asleep. A NOAA weather radio with overnight alert capability is the single most impactful low-cost preparedness step available to McLean County households.

Regional Context

McLean County falls 32.4 points above Illinois's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for McLean County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McLean County, IL?
McLean County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 87th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McLean County?
McLean County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (90th percentile), flooding (85th percentile), earthquake (82th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 90th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McLean County risk compare to the Illinois average?
McLean County's composite risk percentile is 87th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McLean County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is McLean County at risk for tornado?
Yes, McLean County's tornado risk is at the 90th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, McLean County is at the 85th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is McLean County higher risk than average?
McLean County's composite risk score of 87th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (90th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.