riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Joseph County Disaster Risk

St. Joseph County, Indiana

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

86th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#6

of 92 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

85th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Joseph County, Indiana

St. Joseph faces elevated national risk

St. Joseph County's composite risk score of 85.81 earns a Relatively Moderate rating, nearly double Indiana's state average of 45.52 and well above typical U.S. counties. This county experiences substantially higher cumulative exposure to multiple natural hazards.

Among Indiana's riskiest counties

St. Joseph County ranks in the top tier of Indiana's 92 counties for natural disaster risk, with the second-highest composite score statewide. Only a handful of Indiana counties face comparable multi-hazard exposure.

Significantly riskier than surrounding areas

St. Joseph County's 85.81 score dramatically exceeds neighboring Starke County (24.94) and Steuben County (27.19), making it a clear outlier for disaster risk in the region. The county's northern location contributes to elevated flood and tornado vulnerabilities.

Tornadoes and floods dominate threats

Tornado risk reaches 90.52 in St. Joseph County—among the highest in Indiana—while flood risk scores 85.40, reflecting the county's water infrastructure and storm patterns. Earthquake risk at 78.31 and hurricane risk at 43.55 round out significant secondary concerns.

Invest in storm and flood protection

St. Joseph County residents should maintain robust homeowners and flood insurance, as both tornado (90.52) and flood (85.40) risks are critical. A designated safe room built to FEMA specifications offers vital protection during severe storms and high winds.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Joseph County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    85th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    78th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Joseph County

Risk Verdict

At the 86th percentile nationally, St. Joseph County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for St. Joseph County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is St. Joseph County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 85th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (78th percentile), hurricane (44th percentile), wildfire (22th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 91th percentile nationally makes St. Joseph County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. The secondary flood hazard at the 85th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to St. Joseph County's preparedness calendar, since flood and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. In St. Joseph County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Indiana county average is 40.3 composite points below St. Joseph County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for St. Joseph County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Joseph County, IN?
St. Joseph County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 86th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Joseph County?
St. Joseph County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (91th percentile), flooding (85th percentile), earthquake (78th percentile), hurricane (44th percentile), wildfire (22th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Joseph County risk compare to the Indiana average?
St. Joseph County's composite risk percentile is 86th, compared to the Indiana state average of 46th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Joseph County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Indiana.
Is St. Joseph County at risk for tornado?
Yes, St. Joseph County's tornado risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, St. Joseph County is at the 85th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Joseph County higher risk than average?
St. Joseph County's composite risk score of 86th percentile is above the Indiana state average of 46th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (91th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.