riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lucas County Disaster Risk

Lucas County, Iowa

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

30th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#66

of 99 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

23th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lucas County, Iowa

Lucas County maintains very low risk

Lucas County's composite risk score of 29.68 sits 25 percent below Iowa's state average of 39.68, placing it in the very low risk category. This moderate cushion below the state average suggests residents face fewer natural disaster threats than typical Iowans.

Among Iowa's safer counties

Lucas ranks in the lower half of Iowa's 99 counties for disaster risk, with only a handful of counties posting lower scores. This favorable standing reflects the county's generally moderate exposure to the most damaging weather events.

Slightly higher risk than Louisa or Lyon

Lucas's score of 29.68 exceeds both Louisa County (17.46) and Lyon County (19.18), though all three form a cluster of southeast Iowa's safest counties. Marion County (34.35) to the north presents marginally higher risk, illustrating how hazard exposure shifts across the region.

Tornadoes and wildfires warrant attention

Tornado risk at 57.28 represents your most significant threat, particularly during spring and early summer. Wildfire risk of 54.58 is also noteworthy given Iowa's prairie history, though neither approaches the severity seen in higher-risk counties.

Standard policies cover most hazards well

Your relatively low-risk profile means standard homeowners insurance typically offers adequate protection without premium customization. Ensure your policy includes wind and hail coverage for tornado exposure, and review coverage limits every few years.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lucas County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    57th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    24th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lucas County

Risk Verdict

Lucas County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 30th percentile nationally. At the 30th percentile, Lucas County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Lucas County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 57th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (24th percentile), flood (23th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado risk is Lucas County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 57th percentile nationally. For Lucas County households, the most protective action available is identifying a reinforced interior room on the lowest floor — a bathroom, closet, or central hallway away from windows. Alongside tornado exposure, wildfire at the 55th percentile nationally means Lucas County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. A battery-powered NOAA All Hazards weather radio with an auto-alert tone is the highest-leverage single item for tornado preparedness in Lucas County, since it delivers warnings even when power is out and phone networks are congested.

Regional Context

The Iowa county average exceeds Lucas County's score by 10.0 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Lucas County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lucas County, IA?
Lucas County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 30th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lucas County?
Lucas County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (57th percentile), wildfire (55th percentile), earthquake (24th percentile), flooding (23th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 57th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lucas County risk compare to the Iowa average?
Lucas County's composite risk percentile is 30th, compared to the Iowa state average of 40th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Lucas County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Iowa.
Is Lucas County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Lucas County's tornado risk is at the 57th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Lucas County is at the 23th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lucas County a safe place to live?
Lucas County's composite risk score of 30th percentile is below the Iowa state average of 40th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is tornado at the 57th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.