riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Warren County Disaster Risk

Warren County, Iowa

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

36th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#49

of 99 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

36th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Warren County, Iowa

Warren sits comfortably below national risk

Warren County's composite risk score of 36.10 and Very Low rating indicate substantially lower natural disaster exposure than the average U.S. county. The county benefits from a favorable geographic position with limited multi-hazard overlap.

Among Iowa's safest communities

Warren scores 36.10, placing it well below Iowa's state average of 39.68, ranking among the state's lowest-risk counties. This favorable position reflects relatively moderate exposure across most hazard types.

Safer than most neighboring counties

Warren's Very Low risk outperforms regional neighbors including Washington (44.18) and Wapello (65.33). Only Van Buren (33.62) and Wayne (22.01) offer comparable safety profiles in the surrounding area.

Tornadoes and wildfires pose biggest threats

Tornado risk registers at 65.87 and wildfire risk at 59.41, making these Warren's primary natural hazard concerns. Flood risk remains moderate at 35.94, below state average.

Prioritize storm damage and wildfire prep

Warren homeowners should ensure wind and hail coverage for tornado protection, then add wildfire liability coverage if available. Though your overall risk is low, these two hazards warrant specific insurance attention.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Warren County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    66th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    59th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    36th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Warren County

Risk Verdict

Warren County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 36th percentile nationally. Warren County residents can take confidence from a 36th percentile ranking, but even lower-risk counties benefit from a practiced household communication plan and awareness of the specific hazards listed above.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Warren County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 66th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 59th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (36th percentile), earthquake (21th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 66th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Warren County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Wildfire is the second hazard driver for Warren County at the 59th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and wildfire-specific warning systems. For Warren County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

Warren County tracks the Iowa county average closely, sitting 3.6 composite points below the state mean — neither a standout high-risk nor low-risk county within Iowa.

Is your household prepared for Warren County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Warren County, IA?
Warren County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 36th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Warren County?
Warren County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (66th percentile), wildfire (59th percentile), flooding (36th percentile), earthquake (21th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 66th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Warren County risk compare to the Iowa average?
Warren County's composite risk percentile is 36th, compared to the Iowa state average of 40th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Warren County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Iowa.
Is Warren County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Warren County's tornado risk is at the 66th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Warren County is at the 36th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Warren County a safe place to live?
Warren County's composite risk score of 36th percentile is below the Iowa state average of 40th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is tornado at the 66th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.