riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

33th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#76

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

44th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Kentucky

Lincoln County poses minimal disaster risk

Lincoln County's composite risk score of 32.57 falls 26% below Kentucky's state average of 44.21, marking it as very low risk nationally. Residents face below-average exposure to major natural disaster hazards.

Lower-risk Kentucky county

Lincoln County ranks in the lower-risk half of Kentucky with a composite score of 32.57, about 26% below the state average. The county's position reflects generally manageable hazard exposure for most of its residents.

Comparable to surrounding counties

Lincoln County (32.57) has similar risk to neighboring Leslie County (31.71) and Lewis County (41.48), making it a moderate-risk area regionally. All three counties face lower hazard exposure than Letcher County (66.60) to the east.

Earthquake risk stands out most

Earthquake risk (57.38) is Lincoln County's most elevated hazard, significantly exceeding the state average, though the county's overall risk remains low. Tornado risk (39.63) and hurricane risk (42.47) also rank above state norms, while flood risk (44.21) sits at the state average and wildfire risk (24.33) remains low.

Earthquake insurance merits consideration

Lincoln County residents should review their homeowners policies carefully, particularly regarding earthquake coverage given the county's elevated risk score of 57.38. Standard homeowners insurance provides adequate protection for most hazards, but consider additional earthquake protection if your home's construction predates modern seismic codes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    57th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    44th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    42th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Lincoln County ranks at the 33th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. At the 33th percentile, Lincoln County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 57th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 44th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (42th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), wildfire (24th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 57th percentile nationally, Lincoln County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Flood at the 44th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Lincoln County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Earthquake insurance in Lincoln County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

At 11.6 points below the Kentucky state average, Lincoln County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, KY?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 33th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (57th percentile), flooding (44th percentile), hurricane (42th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), wildfire (24th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 57th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 33th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lincoln County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Lincoln County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Lincoln County's earthquake risk is at the 57th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 44th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lincoln County a safe place to live?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 33th percentile is below the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 57th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.