riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Baltimore city Disaster Risk

Baltimore city, Maryland

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

95th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 24 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

94th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Baltimore city, Maryland

Baltimore City faces the highest national disaster risk

Baltimore City's composite risk score of 95.01 ranks it in the "Relatively High" category—among the most hazard-exposed urban areas in the United States. Every major natural disaster type poses significant danger to the city's 620,000 residents.

Maryland's riskiest jurisdiction

Baltimore City's 95.01 score is the highest in Maryland, far exceeding the state average of 60.22 and surpassing even Baltimore County. The dense urban core, waterfront location, and aging infrastructure converge to create exceptional vulnerability to multiple hazard types.

City risk far exceeds surrounding areas

Baltimore City (95.01) faces dramatically higher exposure than Anne Arundel (81.87) and Baltimore County (93.99), with only Baltimore County approaching its risk level. The city's compact footprint and built environment amplify hazard impacts compared to more distributed suburban and rural neighbors.

Tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes are critical

Baltimore City residents face exceptional tornado risk (95.42), flood danger (94.27), and earthquake exposure (93.00)—the three highest hazard scores in Maryland. Hurricane risk (92.32) rounds out an extraordinarily broad spectrum of natural disaster threats.

Comprehensive insurance is non-negotiable

Baltimore homeowners must secure flood insurance, earthquake coverage, and windstorm protection—none of which is typically included in standard policies. An annual insurance review with a qualified agent is essential to ensure coverage keeps pace with property values and new hazard science.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Baltimore city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    94th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    93th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Baltimore city

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index places Baltimore city at the 95th percentile nationally — in the high-risk bracket for U.S. counties. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Baltimore city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 94th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (93th percentile), hurricane (92th percentile), wildfire (24th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 95th percentile nationally, Baltimore city sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Baltimore city's secondary flood risk at the 94th percentile nationally often co-occurs with tornado-producing weather systems, reinforcing the value of comprehensive severe-weather monitoring. For Baltimore city households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Baltimore city is 34.8 composite risk points above the Maryland average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Baltimore city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Baltimore city, MD?
Baltimore city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 95th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Baltimore city?
Baltimore city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (95th percentile), flooding (94th percentile), earthquake (93th percentile), hurricane (92th percentile), wildfire (24th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Baltimore city risk compare to the Maryland average?
Baltimore city's composite risk percentile is 95th, compared to the Maryland state average of 60th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Baltimore city faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Maryland.
Is Baltimore city at risk for tornado?
Yes, Baltimore city's tornado risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Baltimore city is at the 94th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Baltimore city higher risk than average?
Baltimore city's composite risk score of 95th percentile is above the Maryland state average of 60th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (95th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.