riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Barnstable County Disaster Risk

Barnstable County, Massachusetts

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#9

of 14 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Barnstable County, Massachusetts

Barnstable's risk exceeds national norms

Barnstable County scores 89.09 on the composite risk scale, placing it firmly above the national average and marking it as relatively moderate in overall disaster risk. This elevated score reflects the county's coastal geography and vulnerability to Atlantic weather systems. Residents here face meaningfully higher hazard exposure than the typical American county.

Fourth-highest risk in Massachusetts

With a composite risk score of 89.09, Barnstable ranks among the state's riskier counties—above the Massachusetts average of 78.84. Only Essex, Hampden, and Bristol counties face higher composite risk in the state. This positioning reflects Barnstable's peninsula location and storm-prone Atlantic exposure.

Higher risk than western neighbors

Barnstable's 89.09 score significantly outpaces nearby Franklin County (60.72) and Hampshire County (69.88), though it runs roughly even with Bristol County (89.85) to the south. The gap widens dramatically when compared to Dukes County (16.79), which enjoys exceptional shelter despite its island geography. Coastal position, not distance, drives Barnstable's elevated risk profile.

Hurricanes and floods dominate here

Barnstable residents confront extreme hurricane risk (94.53) and severe flood risk (94.60)—the two hazards most likely to impact daily life and property. Earthquake risk (78.12) represents a secondary but meaningful threat, while tornado (45.52) and wildfire (53.21) risks remain moderate. Coastal storms and rising water represent your county's defining disaster challenges.

Flood and wind coverage are essential

With hurricane and flood risks both in the 94+ range, standard homeowners insurance is insufficient—flood coverage through the National Flood Insurance Program and enhanced wind/hurricane riders are critical. Review your policy annually, especially before hurricane season, and consider elevation or flood-proofing improvements if you're in a mapped risk zone. Your coastal location demands active, layered protection strategies.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Barnstable County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    95th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    78th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Barnstable County

Risk Verdict

At the 89th percentile nationally, Barnstable County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Barnstable County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Barnstable County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 95th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (78th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile), tornado (46th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 95th percentile nationally for flood risk, Barnstable County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 95th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Barnstable County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The Massachusetts county average is 10.3 composite points below Barnstable County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Barnstable County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Barnstable County, MA?
Barnstable County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Barnstable County?
Barnstable County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (95th percentile), hurricane (95th percentile), earthquake (78th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile), tornado (46th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Barnstable County risk compare to the Massachusetts average?
Barnstable County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Barnstable County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Massachusetts.
Is Barnstable County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Barnstable County's flooding risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Barnstable County higher risk than average?
Barnstable County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (95th percentile), along with hurricane and earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.