riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Grand Traverse County Disaster Risk

Grand Traverse County, Michigan

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

66th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#29

of 83 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

58th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 43% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Grand Traverse County, Michigan

Grand Traverse sits slightly above national average

Grand Traverse County's composite risk score of 65.65 places it in the "Relatively Low" category nationally, modestly above Michigan's state average of 49.56. The county faces meaningful but manageable exposure to floods, tornadoes, and wildfires. This profile is typical of northern Midwest counties with lakes and forest terrain.

Mid-range risk profile for Michigan

Grand Traverse ranks in the upper-middle tier of Michigan's 83 counties, with its 65.65 score exceeding the state average by about 16 points. Several counties like Genesee are far riskier, while many upper-peninsula and rural counties report lower exposure. Grand Traverse's position reflects its geography as a Great Lakes-region county with mixed hazard exposure.

Moderate risk in the northern Lower Peninsula

Grand Traverse's 65.65 score exceeds Gladwin County (40.27) and nearby Emmet County, but falls below Huron County (59.03) on the eastern shore. Regional variation reflects proximity to Lake Michigan and local topography; Grand Traverse's lakeside position creates unique flood and weather patterns. The county's risk profile is generally comparable to other northern Michigan lake communities.

Floods and tornadoes require attention

Flood risk of 57.95 and tornado risk of 43.03 are Grand Traverse's primary hazards, reflecting the county's exposure to spring runoff, lake-effect precipitation, and warm-season severe weather. Wildfire risk of 31.04 is moderate given the extensive forests in the region. All three hazards occur frequently enough to merit standard preparation and insurance.

Flood insurance and storm prep essential

Grand Traverse residents should carry separate flood insurance, particularly those in low-lying areas or near streams and the lakeshore. Ensure your homeowners policy covers wind and hail from thunderstorms, and consider reinforced garage doors if exposed to tornado-prone areas. Regular tree trimming around your home reduces wildfire and wind-damage risks.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Grand Traverse County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    58th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    43th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    31th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Grand Traverse County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 66th, Grand Traverse County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Above-average risk does not mean imminent danger; it signals that informed, hazard-specific preparedness has high value here.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Grand Traverse County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 58th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 43th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (31th percentile), hurricane (18th percentile), earthquake (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 58th percentile nationally, Grand Traverse County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. Alongside flooding, tornado exposure at the 43th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Registering for Grand Traverse County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

At 16.1 points above the Michigan state average, Grand Traverse County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Michigan county.

Is your household prepared for Grand Traverse County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Grand Traverse County, MI?
Grand Traverse County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 66th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Grand Traverse County?
Grand Traverse County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (58th percentile), tornado (43th percentile), wildfire (31th percentile), hurricane (18th percentile), earthquake (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 58th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Grand Traverse County risk compare to the Michigan average?
Grand Traverse County's composite risk percentile is 66th, compared to the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Grand Traverse County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Michigan.
Is Grand Traverse County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Grand Traverse County's flooding risk is at the 58th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Grand Traverse County higher risk than average?
Grand Traverse County's composite risk score of 66th percentile is above the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (58th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.