riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Shiawassee County Disaster Risk

Shiawassee County, Michigan

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

62th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#30

of 83 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

55th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Shiawassee County, Michigan

Shiawassee carries moderate tornado risk

Shiawassee County scores 62.18 on the composite risk scale, placing it above Michigan's state average of 49.56 and in the "Relatively Low" risk category overall. Despite this moderate rating, the county's 86.16 tornado score indicates serious exposure to severe weather events. This mixed profile requires targeted preparedness focused on specific hazards rather than universal disaster protection.

Above-average risk primarily from tornadoes

Shiawassee County ranks in the upper-middle tier of Michigan counties for disaster risk, driven overwhelmingly by above-average tornado exposure. The county's composite score reflects hazard concentration rather than broad exposure—tornado risk dominates the profile while most other hazards remain modest. This specialized risk profile means targeted preparation yields better safety results than generalized approaches.

Tornado-heavy compared to nearby areas

Shiawassee's score of 62.18 sits between lower-risk neighbors Van Buren County (60.46) and St. Joseph County (58.59), making it comparable in overall exposure. However, Shiawassee's tornado risk of 86.16 substantially exceeds both neighbors, while their flood and earthquake risks are somewhat higher. The region shows important variations in hazard type even across similar overall risk scores.

Tornadoes vastly outweigh other threats

Shiawassee County's tornado risk (86.16) is exceptionally high and dominates the disaster risk landscape, while flood risk (55.15) and earthquake exposure (39.41) are moderate. Wildfire risk remains minimal at 8.59, and hurricane exposure is low at 39.51. Residents should anchor disaster preparation around tornado safety—shelter access, warning systems, and wind-resistant construction—above all other concerns.

Tornado shelters and wind coverage first

Given Shiawassee's 86.16 tornado risk, a home safe room or basement shelter is the single most important protective investment residents can make. Verify that homeowners insurance includes comprehensive wind and hail coverage, as tornado damage represents the primary insured loss risk. Regular roof inspections and impact-resistant roofing materials provide cost-effective tornado loss reduction.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Shiawassee County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    40th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Shiawassee County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Shiawassee County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 62th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Shiawassee County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Shiawassee County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (40th percentile), earthquake (39th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 86th percentile nationally, Shiawassee County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 55th percentile nationally means Shiawassee County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Shiawassee County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Shiawassee County is 12.6 composite risk points above the Michigan average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Shiawassee County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Shiawassee County, MI?
Shiawassee County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 62th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Shiawassee County?
Shiawassee County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (86th percentile), flooding (55th percentile), hurricane (40th percentile), earthquake (39th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Shiawassee County risk compare to the Michigan average?
Shiawassee County's composite risk percentile is 62th, compared to the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Shiawassee County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Michigan.
Is Shiawassee County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Shiawassee County's tornado risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Shiawassee County is at the 55th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Shiawassee County higher risk than average?
Shiawassee County's composite risk score of 62th percentile is above the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (86th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.