riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Clair County Disaster Risk

St. Clair County, Michigan

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

82th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#11

of 83 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

86th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Clair County, Michigan

St. Clair faces significant disaster exposure

St. Clair County scores 82.00 on the composite risk scale, placing it well above Michigan's state average of 49.56 and in the "Relatively Moderate" risk category. This elevated rating reflects meaningful exposure across multiple hazard types, particularly tornadoes and flooding. The county ranks among Michigan's more hazardous regions and demands serious disaster preparedness from residents.

Among Michigan's highest-risk counties

St. Clair County ranks as one of Michigan's riskier counties statewide, with a composite score about 65% above the state average. Elevated tornado (87.21), flood (85.94), and moderate wildfire (33.52) risks drive this ranking. This positioning places St. Clair residents in territory requiring substantive natural disaster awareness and preparation.

Riskiest county in its regional cluster

St. Clair's score of 82.00 significantly exceeds nearby Sanilac County (70.32) and Tuscola County (73.06), making it the region's highest-risk area. Only Saginaw County (88.55) surpasses St. Clair's exposure in this part of Michigan, creating a small cluster of notably hazardous counties. Regional geographic and weather patterns concentrate disaster risk in these neighboring communities.

Tornadoes and floods are principal threats

St. Clair County faces exceptionally high tornado risk (87.21) and severe flood risk (85.94), both among Michigan's highest—these two hazards constitute the core disaster danger. Earthquake exposure is moderate at 50.83, while wildfire and hurricane risks remain in the low-to-moderate range. Residents must prioritize tornado shelter access and flood-resistant building as foundational safety strategies.

Comprehensive flood and wind protection needed

St. Clair's 85.94 flood risk score demands that residents in flood-prone areas secure separate flood insurance, as standard homeowners policies exclude water damage. Ensure your homeowners policy provides robust wind and hail coverage adequate for the county's 87.21 tornado risk. Professional assessment of basement waterproofing and roof condition can identify cost-effective vulnerability reductions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Clair County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    86th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    51th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Clair County

Risk Verdict

St. Clair County's overall risk score at the 82th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is St. Clair County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 86th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (51th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile).

Preparedness Context

St. Clair County ranks at the 87th percentile nationally for tornado exposure. Unlike many slow-onset hazards, tornadoes in St. Clair County can reach full intensity in minutes; a pre-practiced household shelter plan matters far more than stockpiled supplies. Flood is the second hazard driver for St. Clair County at the 86th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and flood-specific warning systems. St. Clair County county emergency management typically publishes annual severe-weather preparedness guides tailored to local tornado patterns; households benefit from reviewing these before storm season begins each spring.

Regional Context

Compared to other Michigan counties, St. Clair County runs 32.4 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for St. Clair County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Clair County, MI?
St. Clair County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 82th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Clair County?
St. Clair County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (87th percentile), flooding (86th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Clair County risk compare to the Michigan average?
St. Clair County's composite risk percentile is 82th, compared to the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Clair County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Michigan.
Is St. Clair County at risk for tornado?
Yes, St. Clair County's tornado risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, St. Clair County is at the 86th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Clair County higher risk than average?
St. Clair County's composite risk score of 82th percentile is above the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (87th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.