riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Joseph County Disaster Risk

St. Joseph County, Michigan

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

59th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#35

of 83 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Joseph County, Michigan

St. Joseph sits near state-average risk

St. Joseph County scores 58.59 on the composite risk scale, placing it slightly above Michigan's state average of 49.56 and in the "Relatively Low" risk category. This moderate exposure reflects meaningful hazard presence without approaching the state's highest-risk areas. The county's risk profile is manageable through thoughtful preparedness without requiring extreme protective measures.

Below-average risk for Michigan overall

St. Joseph County ranks in the lower-to-middle tier of Michigan counties for disaster risk, with a composite score about 18% above the state average. This positioning reflects balanced rather than concentrated hazard exposure. Residents face somewhat above-average risk but avoid the serious exposure concentrated in a handful of higher-risk Michigan counties.

Safest county in its regional group

St. Joseph's score of 58.59 is the lowest in its region, falling below Van Buren County (60.46) and well below Shiawassee County (62.18). This makes St. Joseph one of the relatively safer areas in its part of Michigan, though not exceptionally low-risk compared to the state's safest counties. The three-county cluster shows modest but consistent variation in disaster exposure.

Moderate tornado and flood exposure

St. Joseph County faces tornado risk (63.52) and flood risk (68.07) as its primary hazards, both moderate and above state average but not extreme. Earthquake exposure is notable at 60.81—the county's third-highest risk—while wildfire (16.98) and hurricane (38.01) risks remain comparatively low. Residents should prioritize tornado preparedness and flood awareness without extraordinary measures for other hazards.

Flood insurance recommended for some areas

Residents in flood-prone areas of St. Joseph County should seriously consider separate flood insurance, given the 68.07 flood risk score, even if not in high-risk zones. Verify that homeowners insurance includes adequate wind and hail coverage for the county's moderate tornado exposure. A professional home assessment identifying waterproofing and roof vulnerabilities provides cost-effective protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Joseph County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    64th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    61th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Joseph County

Risk Verdict

St. Joseph County's FEMA risk score places it at the 59th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is St. Joseph County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 68th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 64th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (61th percentile), hurricane (38th percentile), wildfire (17th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 68th percentile nationally for flood risk, St. Joseph County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, tornado at the 64th percentile nationally, means St. Joseph County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to St. Joseph County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The Michigan county average is 9.0 composite points below St. Joseph County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for St. Joseph County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Joseph County, MI?
St. Joseph County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 59th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Joseph County?
St. Joseph County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (68th percentile), tornado (64th percentile), earthquake (61th percentile), hurricane (38th percentile), wildfire (17th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 68th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Joseph County risk compare to the Michigan average?
St. Joseph County's composite risk percentile is 59th, compared to the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Joseph County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Michigan.
Is St. Joseph County at risk for flooding?
Yes, St. Joseph County's flooding risk is at the 68th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Joseph County higher risk than average?
St. Joseph County's composite risk score of 59th percentile is above the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (68th percentile), along with tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.