riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Nicollet County Disaster Risk

Nicollet County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

45th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#39

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

50th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Nicollet County, Minnesota

Nicollet slightly outpaces national average

Nicollet County's composite risk score of 45.39 sits in the "Relatively Low" category and marginally above the national average. The county's tornado risk of 57.00 drives most of its exposure, while flood and earthquake risks remain moderate.

Right around Minnesota's average

At 45.39, Nicollet County's risk score nearly matches Minnesota's statewide average of 42.38, placing it squarely in the middle tier. This positions Nicollet as a moderate-concern county without extreme exposure to any single hazard.

Moderate risk in balanced region

Nicollet County faces comparable risk to nearby Blue Earth and Brown counties, though it exceeds the lower-risk profile of Murray County to the west. Its tornado exposure at 57.00 slightly outpaces the regional average.

Tornadoes and flooding are primary threats

Nicollet County residents face moderate tornado risk at 57.00 and flood risk at 50.32, both meaningfully above state average. Wildfire and earthquake pose minimal concern, allowing residents to focus preparedness on spring and summer severe weather.

Flood insurance and storm safety key

Nicollet County residents should maintain flood insurance and a designated storm shelter or safe room for tornado season. Review your homeowners policy annually to ensure adequate coverage for wind and water damage from severe storms.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Nicollet County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    57th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    50th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    17th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Nicollet County

Risk Verdict

Nicollet County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 45th percentile across all U.S. counties. Residents of Nicollet County can use the 45th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Nicollet County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 57th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 50th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (17th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ranked at the 57th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Nicollet County is in a zone where storm shelters have the highest per-dollar protective value of any mitigation investment. Nicollet County's county shelter map is typically available through the local emergency management office. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 50th percentile nationally means Nicollet County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. Nicollet County residents can check the county's emergency management website for community shelter locations nearest their address — a step worth completing now, not during a warning.

Regional Context

Nicollet County's composite risk score is within 3.0 points of the Minnesota county average — a close alignment that reflects a broadly representative hazard environment for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Nicollet County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Nicollet County, MN?
Nicollet County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 45th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Nicollet County?
Nicollet County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (57th percentile), flooding (50th percentile), wildfire (17th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 57th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Nicollet County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Nicollet County's composite risk percentile is 45th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Nicollet County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Nicollet County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Nicollet County's tornado risk is at the 57th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Nicollet County is at the 50th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Nicollet County higher risk than average?
Nicollet County's composite risk score of 45th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (57th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.