riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Louis County Disaster Risk

St. Louis County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

92th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Louis County, Minnesota

St. Louis County faces highest risk

St. Louis County's composite risk score of 91.57 ranks among the highest in the nation, earning a Relatively Moderate rating that reflects serious multi-hazard exposure. Residents face substantially greater disaster risk than the typical American.

Minnesota's riskiest county

At 91.57, St. Louis County's risk score dramatically exceeds Minnesota's state average of 42.38, making it the state's most hazard-prone county by a significant margin. This exceptional ranking reflects elevated exposure across floods, wildfires, and tornadoes.

Risk leader in northeastern Minnesota

St. Louis County (91.57) vastly exceeds all neighboring counties in disaster risk, including Lake and Cook counties to the north and east. Its combination of flooding, wildfire, and tornado threats is unmatched in the region.

Flooding and wildfire dominate

St. Louis County faces an exceptional flood risk of 91.76—the highest in Minnesota—compounded by wildfire danger at 81.74 and tornado risk at 64.73. This triple threat makes the county uniquely vulnerable to cascading natural disasters.

Comprehensive insurance is essential

St. Louis County residents must prioritize maximum coverage: NFIP flood insurance immediately, windstorm riders for tornadoes, and full wildfire provisions in homeowners policies. Given the county's exceptional risk, professional home risk assessment and mitigation planning are strongly recommended.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Louis County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    65th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Louis County

Risk Verdict

St. Louis County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 92th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in St. Louis County.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is St. Louis County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 82th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (65th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

St. Louis County's dominant hazard is flooding, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally. In addition to flood insurance, residents should identify their nearest evacuation shelter and store key documents in waterproof containers. Secondary wildfire exposure at the 82th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. St. Louis County's county emergency management office publishes hazard-specific guidance tailored to local conditions; bookmarking that resource and the county's alert system is a practical first step for any household.

Regional Context

St. Louis County falls 49.2 points above Minnesota's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for St. Louis County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Louis County, MN?
St. Louis County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 92th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Louis County?
St. Louis County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (92th percentile), wildfire (82th percentile), tornado (65th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 92th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Louis County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
St. Louis County's composite risk percentile is 92th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means St. Louis County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is St. Louis County at risk for flooding?
Yes, St. Louis County's flooding risk is at the 92th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Louis County higher risk than average?
St. Louis County's composite risk score of 92th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (92th percentile), along with wildfire and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.