riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bolivar County Disaster Risk

Bolivar County, Mississippi

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

77th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#16

of 82 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

77th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bolivar County, Mississippi

Bolivar County faces above-average national risk

Bolivar County scores 76.78 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the relatively low rating but well above the national average. This elevated score reflects significant and concentrated hazard exposure, particularly for flood and earthquake risks.

Mississippi's riskiest county by composition

Bolivar County's 76.78 score is the highest in Mississippi, nearly 50% above the state average of 50.94. This distinction reflects the county's precarious location in the Mississippi River Delta, where flood risk and seismic activity converge.

Dramatically riskier than all surrounding areas

Bolivar County's 76.78 score vastly exceeds all adjacent counties including Sunflower (moderate), Coahoma, and Sharkey counties. Its Delta location creates a singular environmental risk profile unmatched elsewhere in north-central Mississippi.

Floods and earthquakes define risk here

Flood risk peaks at 76.88—among the nation's highest—while earthquake risk reaches 92.18, an extraordinarily elevated score even for Mississippi. Tornado risk of 82.92 adds a third major threat, creating a hazard-rich environment across multiple categories.

Flood and earthquake insurance are essential

Given flood risk of 76.88 and earthquake risk of 92.18, Bolivar County residents must carry both separate flood insurance and earthquake coverage—standard homeowners policies exclude both. Verify that wind and tornado coverage is included, given the 82.92 tornado risk score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bolivar County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    83th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    77th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bolivar County

Risk Verdict

Bolivar County's FEMA risk score places it at the 77th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Bolivar County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Bolivar County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 83th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (77th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (18th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 92th percentile nationally, Bolivar County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Alongside earthquake exposure, Bolivar County's tornado risk at the 83th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Earthquake insurance in Bolivar County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Mississippi county average is 25.8 composite points below Bolivar County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Bolivar County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bolivar County, MS?
Bolivar County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 77th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bolivar County?
Bolivar County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (92th percentile), tornado (83th percentile), flooding (77th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (18th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 92th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bolivar County risk compare to the Mississippi average?
Bolivar County's composite risk percentile is 77th, compared to the Mississippi state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Bolivar County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Mississippi.
Is Bolivar County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Bolivar County's earthquake risk is at the 92th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Bolivar County is at the 77th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bolivar County higher risk than average?
Bolivar County's composite risk score of 77th percentile is above the Mississippi state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (92th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.