riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Forrest County Disaster Risk

Forrest County, Mississippi

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

78th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 82 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

70th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Forrest County, Mississippi

Forrest County carries moderate national risk

Forrest County's composite risk score of 78.05 and relatively low rating place it above the national average but still within moderate ranges. This profile reflects mixed hazard exposure, with particular strength in some disaster types and lower vulnerability in others.

Above-average risk for Mississippi

At 78.05, Forrest County scores notably higher than Mississippi's state average of 50.94, placing it in the upper half of the state's risk distribution. Residents face meaningfully greater disaster exposure than the typical Mississippi county.

Riskier than Franklin, comparable to regional peers

Forrest County's 78.05 score substantially exceeds Franklin County's 17.33 to the west, but closely matches George County's 57.95 nearby. The county represents a moderate-to-higher risk zone within its region.

Hurricanes and wildfires are top threats

Forrest County's hurricane risk score of 90.40 and wildfire risk of 81.71 represent its two dominant hazards, both significantly above regional norms. Tornado risk at 92.65 rounds out a trio of serious weather threats requiring proactive preparation.

Bundle hurricane and wildfire protections

Forrest County homeowners should prioritize comprehensive coverage for wind, fire, and water damage given the county's hurricane and wildfire exposure. Document your home's condition, maintain defensible landscaping space, and ensure your policy limits reflect local construction costs.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Forrest County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    93th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    90th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Forrest County

Risk Verdict

Forrest County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 78th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Forrest County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 93th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 90th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (82th percentile), flood (70th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado risk is Forrest County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 93th percentile nationally. For Forrest County households, the most protective action available is identifying a reinforced interior room on the lowest floor — a bathroom, closet, or central hallway away from windows. The secondary hurricane hazard at the 90th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Forrest County's preparedness calendar, since hurricane and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. A battery-powered NOAA All Hazards weather radio with an auto-alert tone is the highest-leverage single item for tornado preparedness in Forrest County, since it delivers warnings even when power is out and phone networks are congested.

Regional Context

Forrest County's composite risk score sits 27.1 points above the Mississippi county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Forrest County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Forrest County, MS?
Forrest County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 78th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Forrest County?
Forrest County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (93th percentile), hurricane (90th percentile), wildfire (82th percentile), flooding (70th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 93th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Forrest County risk compare to the Mississippi average?
Forrest County's composite risk percentile is 78th, compared to the Mississippi state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Forrest County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Mississippi.
Is Forrest County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Forrest County's tornado risk is at the 93th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Forrest County is at the 70th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Forrest County higher risk than average?
Forrest County's composite risk score of 78th percentile is above the Mississippi state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (93th percentile), along with hurricane and wildfire and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.