riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Butler County Disaster Risk

Butler County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

83th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#14

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Butler County, Missouri

Butler ranks among high-risk counties

Butler County's composite risk score of 83.11 substantially exceeds the national average and carries a Relatively Moderate rating. This position reflects significant exposure to multiple natural hazards.

Among Missouri's riskiest counties

Butler's score of 83.11 towers above the state average of 50.56, making it one of the highest-risk counties in Missouri. Residents in this county face above-average disaster exposure across the board.

Butler faces steeper odds than neighbors

Butler's score of 83.11 surpasses Buchanan County (74.36) to the north and Callaway County (63.93) to the west. Cape Girardeau County (85.69) edges slightly higher, but Butler remains among the riskiest in its region.

Earthquakes and tornadoes top concerns

Butler residents confront an exceptionally high earthquake risk of 95.10, paired with a tornado risk of 90.14. These two hazards dominate the county's risk profile; flood risk (79.07) adds a third significant layer.

Earthquake policy is critical protection

An earthquake risk score of 95.10 makes dedicated earthquake insurance non-negotiable for Butler homeowners, even though standard policies exclude it. Combine this with flood coverage and a tornado safety plan for comprehensive protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Butler County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    90th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Butler County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 83th percentile, Butler County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Butler County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Butler County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 90th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (79th percentile), hurricane (44th percentile), wildfire (39th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 95th percentile nationally for earthquake exposure, Butler County households benefit from practicing Drop, Cover, and Hold On — the protocol that minimizes injury during shaking. Getting under a sturdy table or desk and holding on until shaking stops is the key action. The county's tornado risk at the 90th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. Building age matters for earthquake risk in Butler County: structures built before local seismic code adoption are statistically more vulnerable. Contacting the local building department about retrofit programs can reveal whether your structure qualifies for mitigation assistance.

Regional Context

At 32.6 points above the Missouri state average, Butler County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Missouri county.

Is your household prepared for Butler County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Butler County, MO?
Butler County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 83th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Butler County?
Butler County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (95th percentile), tornado (90th percentile), flooding (79th percentile), hurricane (44th percentile), wildfire (39th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Butler County risk compare to the Missouri average?
Butler County's composite risk percentile is 83th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Butler County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is Butler County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Butler County's earthquake risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Butler County is at the 79th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Butler County higher risk than average?
Butler County's composite risk score of 83th percentile is above the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (95th percentile), along with tornado and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.