riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ray County Disaster Risk

Ray County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

44th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#69

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

49th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ray County, Missouri

Ray County's disaster risk scores well nationally

Ray County's composite risk score of 44.37 sits well below the national average, earning a 'Relatively Low' rating overall. This means residents face fewer compound natural hazard threats than most U.S. counties, though specific risks like tornadoes warrant local attention.

Safer than most Missouri counties

Ray County ranks favorably within Missouri, with its 44.37 score significantly below the state average of 50.56. Among the state's 114 counties, Ray sits in the lower-risk tier for overall natural disaster exposure.

Ray County outperforms nearby peers

Ray County's 44.37 composite score beats adjacent Saline County (51.62) and significantly outpaces Scott County's 80.09 rating. Ray residents enjoy notably lower overall risk than most neighboring counties in north-central Missouri.

Tornadoes and wildfires top the list

Tornado risk (57.92) and wildfire risk (55.03) present Ray County's most significant natural hazards, though both remain below state-average concerns. Flood risk (48.79) rounds out the top three, with earthquake and hurricane threats minimal in this region.

Prepare for severe weather and fire

Ray County homeowners should prioritize tornado and hail coverage, ensuring insurance policies reflect wind-damage exposure. A dedicated wildfire inspection of property defensibility—especially removing dead vegetation near structures—adds critical protection in this region.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ray County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    58th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    49th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ray County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 44th, Ray County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. At the 44th percentile, Ray County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Ray County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 58th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (49th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 58th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Ray County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Wildfire is the second hazard driver for Ray County at the 55th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and wildfire-specific warning systems. For Ray County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

Ray County falls 6.2 points below Missouri's typical county risk level, making it one of the safer natural-hazard environments in the state.

Is your household prepared for Ray County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ray County, MO?
Ray County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 44th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ray County?
Ray County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (58th percentile), wildfire (55th percentile), flooding (49th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 58th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ray County risk compare to the Missouri average?
Ray County's composite risk percentile is 44th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Ray County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is Ray County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Ray County's tornado risk is at the 58th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Ray County is at the 49th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Ray County a safe place to live?
Ray County's composite risk score of 44th percentile is below the Missouri state average of 51th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is tornado at the 58th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.