riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Scotland County Disaster Risk

Scotland County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

33th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#77

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

18th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Scotland County, Missouri

Scotland County carries below-average risk nationally

Scotland County's composite risk score of 32.95 sits well below the national average, earning a 'Very Low' rating overall. The county's favorable profile reflects minimal flood and earthquake exposure, though wildfire and tornado threats remain moderate regional concerns.

Among Missouri's safest counties

Scotland County's 32.95 composite score ranks significantly below Missouri's 50.56 state average, placing it solidly in the state's lower-risk tier. Only a handful of Missouri counties—notably Schuyler—carry lower overall natural disaster exposure.

Safer than most surrounding counties

Scotland County's 32.95 score outperforms neighboring Ray County (44.37), Saline County (51.62), and most other regional peers in terms of overall safety. Its low flood risk (18.26) particularly sets it apart from counties along major river systems.

Wildfire risk stands above other threats

Wildfire risk (55.15) represents Scotland County's most significant natural hazard exposure, though still moderate compared to national wildfire-prone regions. Tornado risk (51.78) ranks second, with flood (18.26), earthquake (30.28), and hurricane (19.90) threats all remaining well below statewide averages.

Focus on wildfire defense and maintenance

Scotland County homeowners should maintain defensible space around structures by clearing dead vegetation and tree branches, reducing wildfire risk. Standard homeowner insurance typically covers wildfire damage, but ensuring adequate coverage limits and maintaining property inspections provides the best protection in this relatively low-risk county.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Scotland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    55th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    52th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    30th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Scotland County

Risk Verdict

At the 33th percentile nationally, Scotland County experiences relatively limited natural hazard pressure compared to most of the country. Scotland County's 33th percentile ranking is favorable, though every county carries at least one natural hazard worth knowing — reviewing the specific risks listed above helps households focus their preparedness where it matters most.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Scotland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 55th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 52th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (30th percentile), hurricane (20th percentile), flood (18th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Scotland County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 55th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in Scotland County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. Alongside wildfire, tornado at the 52th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Scotland County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

A composite score 17.6 points below the Missouri state average puts Scotland County in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for Scotland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Scotland County, MO?
Scotland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 33th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Scotland County?
Scotland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (55th percentile), tornado (52th percentile), earthquake (30th percentile), hurricane (20th percentile), flooding (18th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 55th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Scotland County risk compare to the Missouri average?
Scotland County's composite risk percentile is 33th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Scotland County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is Scotland County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Scotland County's wildfire risk is at the 55th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Scotland County is at the 18th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Scotland County a safe place to live?
Scotland County's composite risk score of 33th percentile is below the Missouri state average of 51th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 55th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.