riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Blaine County Disaster Risk

Blaine County, Montana

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

46th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#20

of 56 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

47th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 47% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 7% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Blaine County, Montana

Blaine County's risk moderately above U.S. average

Blaine County scores 45.87 on the composite risk index, positioning it as Relatively Low but notably above the national average. The county's risk is driven by wildfire exposure (69.85) and moderate flood risk (46.53), while earthquake and tornado hazards remain low by comparative standards.

Mid-tier risk profile across Montana

Blaine County ranks in the middle range of Montana's 56 counties with a composite score of 45.87, above the state average of 33.31. Its wildfire risk (69.85) is significant but lower than the county's most fire-exposed peers like Big Horn and Carbon.

Moderate fire risk relative to regional counterparts

Blaine's wildfire risk (69.85) is notably lower than Big Horn (94.85) and Carbon (93.32) but comparable to Beaverhead (84.32). Its flood risk (46.53) sits between Chouteau (50.38) and Broadwater (19.08), reflecting variable exposure to snowmelt and precipitation patterns across the region.

Wildfires and flooding are your primary concerns

Blaine County residents face meaningful wildfire risk (69.85) and moderate flood risk (46.53), making these the focus of emergency preparedness efforts. Earthquake risk (13.36) and tornado risk (6.68) are notably low, simplifying your insurance and mitigation decisions.

Secure wildfire and flood coverage today

With dual wildfire and flood exposure, Blaine residents need both specialized wildfire insurance and a separate flood policy—standard homeowners coverage excludes both. Ensure your home is in defensible condition and verify that your flood insurance accurately reflects your property's elevation and proximity to flood-prone waterways.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Blaine County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    70th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    47th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    13th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Blaine County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Blaine County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 46th percentile. A 46th percentile score positions Blaine County among the nation's lower-risk counties, a genuinely favorable outcome — one that simple, low-cost preparedness habits can reinforce further.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Blaine County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 70th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 47th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (13th percentile), tornado (7th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 70th percentile nationally, Blaine County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Blaine County households to have on hand before fire season. A secondary flood exposure at the 47th percentile nationally means Blaine County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Blaine County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Blaine County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Blaine County is 12.6 composite risk points above the Montana average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Blaine County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Blaine County, MT?
Blaine County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 46th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Blaine County?
Blaine County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (70th percentile), flooding (47th percentile), earthquake (13th percentile), tornado (7th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 70th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Blaine County risk compare to the Montana average?
Blaine County's composite risk percentile is 46th, compared to the Montana state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Blaine County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Montana.
Is Blaine County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Blaine County's wildfire risk is at the 70th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Blaine County is at the 47th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Blaine County higher risk than average?
Blaine County's composite risk score of 46th percentile is above the Montana state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (70th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.