riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Custer County Disaster Risk

Custer County, Montana

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

42th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#23

of 56 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

38th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Custer County, Montana

Custer's Risk Sits Above National Average

With a composite risk score of 42.14, Custer County faces higher-than-average natural disaster risk compared to the national baseline. Your county's "Very Low" rating reflects Montana's generally moderate hazard profile, though wildfire emerges as a notable concern at 85.37—well above typical levels.

Middle of the Pack in Montana

Custer ranks around the middle for risk among Montana's 56 counties, with a score of 42.14 versus the state average of 33.31. This positions you in a moderate risk band—safer than western Montana counties but facing real hazard exposure.

Higher Risk Than Eastern Neighbors

Custer's composite score of 42.14 significantly exceeds nearby Fallon County (5.41) and Daniels County (1.81), but remains well below Flathead County (86.45) to the northwest. Your wildfire risk of 85.37 is the primary driver of this gap with eastern plains counties.

Wildfire and Flood Drive Your Risk

Wildfire dominates Custer County's hazard profile at 85.37, making it your most pressing natural disaster threat. Flood risk (38.30) ranks as your secondary concern, while tornadoes (16.16) and earthquakes (31.39) pose lower but measurable dangers.

Prioritize Wildfire and Flood Coverage

Homeowners in Custer County should ensure comprehensive fire insurance and confirm flood coverage, especially in low-lying areas. Given your wildfire score of 85.37, defensible space maintenance and fire-resistant landscaping are critical investments beyond insurance.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Custer County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    85th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    38th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    31th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Custer County

Risk Verdict

Custer County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 42th percentile nationally. At the 42th percentile, Custer County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Custer County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 38th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (31th percentile), tornado (16th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 85th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Custer County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. A secondary flood exposure at the 38th percentile nationally means Custer County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Custer County residents.

Regional Context

At 8.8 points above the Montana state average, Custer County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Montana county.

Is your household prepared for Custer County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Custer County, MT?
Custer County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 42th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Custer County?
Custer County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (85th percentile), flooding (38th percentile), earthquake (31th percentile), tornado (16th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 85th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Custer County risk compare to the Montana average?
Custer County's composite risk percentile is 42th, compared to the Montana state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Custer County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Montana.
Is Custer County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Custer County's wildfire risk is at the 85th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Custer County is at the 38th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Custer County higher risk than average?
Custer County's composite risk score of 42th percentile is above the Montana state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (85th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.