riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Scotts Bluff County Disaster Risk

Scotts Bluff County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

64th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

48th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Scotts Bluff County, Nebraska

Scotts Bluff faces 'Relatively Low' risk

Scotts Bluff County's composite risk score of 63.84 places it in the 'Relatively Low' category, well above the national average. The county's elevated earthquake risk and wildfire exposure make it more hazardous than most U.S. counties despite its 'Relatively Low' rating.

Elevated risk profile for Nebraska

At 63.84, Scotts Bluff County substantially exceeds Nebraska's state average of 25.80, ranking among the state's higher-risk counties. Its panhandle location and geological characteristics distinguish it from the rest of Nebraska.

Significantly riskier than neighboring panhandle counties

Scotts Bluff County's score of 63.84 dramatically exceeds those of Banner, Kimball, and Cheyenne counties in the panhandle. Its position at the base of the Scotts Bluff highlands and proximity to the North Platte River corridor create distinct hazard patterns.

Earthquakes and wildfires dominate the risk profile

Earthquake risk scores an exceptional 50.60—by far the highest in Nebraska—reflecting the county's proximity to seismic activity zones. Wildfire risk of 64.19 and tornado risk of 59.99 also pose significant threats, creating a multi-hazard environment uncommon in the state.

Address earthquake and wildfire coverage specifically

Standard homeowners policies exclude earthquake damage; Scotts Bluff residents should strongly consider separate earthquake insurance given the county's exceptional risk. Verify windstorm and wildfire coverage in your policy; this county's unique hazard profile requires specialized attention.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Scotts Bluff County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    64th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    60th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    51th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Scotts Bluff County

Risk Verdict

Scotts Bluff County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 64th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Scotts Bluff County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Scotts Bluff County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 64th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 60th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (51th percentile), flood (48th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Scotts Bluff County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 64th percentile nationally. Scotts Bluff County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. A secondary tornado exposure at the 60th percentile nationally means Scotts Bluff County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. For Scotts Bluff County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Scotts Bluff County's composite risk score sits 38.0 points above the Nebraska county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Scotts Bluff County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Scotts Bluff County, NE?
Scotts Bluff County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 64th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Scotts Bluff County?
Scotts Bluff County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (64th percentile), tornado (60th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile), flooding (48th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 64th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Scotts Bluff County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Scotts Bluff County's composite risk percentile is 64th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Scotts Bluff County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Scotts Bluff County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Scotts Bluff County's wildfire risk is at the 64th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Scotts Bluff County is at the 48th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Scotts Bluff County higher risk than average?
Scotts Bluff County's composite risk score of 64th percentile is above the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (64th percentile), along with tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.