riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Valley County Disaster Risk

Valley County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

26th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#37

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

12th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Valley County, Nebraska

Valley ranks near national average

Valley County's composite risk score of 26.02 sits marginally above the national average while maintaining a "Very Low" overall rating. The county faces moderate but manageable natural disaster exposure.

Comparable to state average

At 26.02, Valley County mirrors Nebraska's state average of 25.80 almost exactly, indicating it represents typical hazard exposure across the state. The county sits at the midpoint of statewide risk distribution.

Mid-range risk regionally

Valley's 26.02 exceeds low-risk counties like Sheridan (13.36) and Stanton (16.22) but trails the more hazard-exposed Thayer (38.39). The county ranks near Thurston County (26.40) in regional risk comparison.

Wildfire and tornado are primary

Wildfire risk (66.35) and tornado risk (30.53) represent Valley County's major natural hazards, with wildfire substantially dominating the risk profile. Flood risk (12.05) and earthquake exposure (7.95) remain relatively minor.

Wildfire and tornado coverage essential

Valley County homeowners should prioritize insurance that covers both wildfire and tornado damage given these elevated dual threats. Maintain property defensibility against fire, ensure adequate tornado shelter access, and keep coverage current.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Valley County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    66th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    31th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    12th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Valley County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Valley County ranks at the 26th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Valley County's favorable 26th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Valley County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 66th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 31th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (12th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Valley County sits at the 66th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Valley County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary tornado exposure at the 31th percentile nationally means Valley County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Valley County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

Valley County sits within 0.2 composite points of the Nebraska state average, suggesting the county's hazard exposure is representative of the broader regional pattern.

Is your household prepared for Valley County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Valley County, NE?
Valley County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 26th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Valley County?
Valley County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (66th percentile), tornado (31th percentile), flooding (12th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 66th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Valley County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Valley County's composite risk percentile is 26th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Valley County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Valley County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Valley County's wildfire risk is at the 66th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Valley County is at the 12th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Valley County higher risk than average?
Valley County's composite risk score of 26th percentile is above the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (66th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.