riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chaves County Disaster Risk

Chaves County, New Mexico

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

88th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#4

of 33 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chaves County, New Mexico

Chaves County faces moderate-to-high risk

With a composite risk score of 87.63, Chaves County exceeds New Mexico's state average (58.92) and sits in the relatively moderate risk tier. The county's southeastern location exposes it to unique hazard combinations, including flood and wildfire threats that affect the region simultaneously.

Third-riskiest county in New Mexico

Chaves ranks third statewide for overall disaster risk, behind Doña Ana and Bernalillo counties. The county's exposure to multiple concurrent hazards—particularly flooding and wildfire—drives this elevated ranking.

Notably higher risk than eastern peers

Chaves's score of 87.63 substantially exceeds Curry County (61.83) and De Baca County (4.07) to its northeast. This positions Chaves as the higher-risk anchor in the southeastern plains region.

Floods and wildfires create compound threat

Flood risk (92.33) and wildfire risk (92.46) are nearly equal and both extreme, making Chaves particularly vulnerable to back-to-back disasters that can overwhelm response capacity. Hurricane risk (39.01), while modest compared to Gulf states, adds a secondary water hazard during storm season.

Flood and wildfire insurance critical

Obtain separate flood insurance immediately—it's not included in standard policies and claims often exceed expectations in Chaves County. Also verify wildfire coverage and consider additional protection for property in wildland-adjacent areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chaves County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    92th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    39th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chaves County

Risk Verdict

Chaves County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 88th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Chaves County.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Chaves County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (39th percentile), earthquake (31th percentile), tornado (21th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Chaves County's primary hazard at the 92th percentile nationally. For Chaves County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. The county's flood exposure at the 92th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Chaves County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Chaves County falls 28.7 points above New Mexico's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Chaves County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chaves County, NM?
Chaves County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 88th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chaves County?
Chaves County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (92th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile), earthquake (31th percentile), tornado (21th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 92th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chaves County risk compare to the New Mexico average?
Chaves County's composite risk percentile is 88th, compared to the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Chaves County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Mexico.
Is Chaves County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Chaves County's wildfire risk is at the 92th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chaves County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Chaves County higher risk than average?
Chaves County's composite risk score of 88th percentile is above the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (92th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.