riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ontario County Disaster Risk

Ontario County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

64th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#39

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ontario County, New York

Ontario: Below-Average National Disaster Risk

Ontario County scores 63.55 on composite disaster risk, placing it below the national average and in the relatively low risk category. While this favorable ranking reflects lower exposure to major hazards compared to most American counties, specific threats like flooding still warrant serious attention. Ontario residents can feel somewhat assured overall, but preparation remains important for localized hazards.

Ontario Below New York's Average Risk

Ontario scores 63.55 compared to New York's state average of 69.42, positioning it as one of the safer counties in New York by disaster risk. This below-average profile gives Ontario an advantage in terms of overall hazard exposure compared to state peers. However, specific risks like flood vulnerability still require local attention and preparedness.

Ontario: Lower Risk Than Surrounding Counties

Ontario (63.55) has meaningfully lower risk than neighbors Oneida (86.32), Onondaga (91.25), and Otsego (75.83), making it one of the safer spots in central New York. Only Oswego County (67.56) compares closely in the regional risk picture. Ontario's relatively favorable position offers residents an opportunity to focus preparation efforts on the most serious localized threats.

Flooding Stands Out as Primary Threat

Ontario's dominant risk is flooding, with a score of 78.85—significantly higher than other local hazards like tornadoes (43.96) and earthquakes (53.09). While earthquakes and tornadoes pose some concern, water-related disasters represent the county's most serious and frequent natural hazard. Flood preparedness should be Ontario's top priority for household and community safety.

Flood Insurance Should Be Your Priority

Ontario residents should prioritize obtaining flood insurance, as standard homeowners policies exclude flood damage and Ontario's flood risk score of 78.85 reflects real exposure. Even properties outside formal flood zones can experience water damage from heavy rains and local flooding. Get a flood insurance quote today—it's often more affordable than you expect and protects your biggest investment.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ontario County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    59th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    53th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ontario County

Risk Verdict

At the 64th percentile nationally, Ontario County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Ontario County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Ontario County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 59th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (53th percentile), tornado (44th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ontario County's dominant hazard is flooding, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally. In addition to flood insurance, residents should identify their nearest evacuation shelter and store key documents in waterproof containers. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 59th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Ontario County's county emergency management office publishes hazard-specific guidance tailored to local conditions; bookmarking that resource and the county's alert system is a practical first step for any household.

Regional Context

Compared to the New York county average, Ontario County's composite score runs 5.9 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Ontario County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ontario County, NY?
Ontario County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 64th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ontario County?
Ontario County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (79th percentile), hurricane (59th percentile), earthquake (53th percentile), tornado (44th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ontario County risk compare to the New York average?
Ontario County's composite risk percentile is 64th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Ontario County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Ontario County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Ontario County's flooding risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Ontario County a safe place to live?
Ontario County's composite risk score of 64th percentile is below the New York state average of 69th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 79th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.