riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Warren County Disaster Risk

Warren County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

62th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#41

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

72th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Warren County, New York

Warren County's moderate risk profile

With a composite risk score of 62.31, Warren County ranks as relatively low risk—well below the national average for natural disasters. This score reflects a balanced hazard profile where no single threat dominates, giving residents a manageable disaster preparedness landscape compared to higher-risk counties nationwide.

Middle of the pack in New York

Warren County's 62.31 score sits slightly below New York's state average of 69.42, positioning it as a safer-than-average county within the state. Among New York's 62 counties, this places Warren in the moderate-risk tier, neither among the most vulnerable nor the most protected.

Safer than most regional peers

Warren County's 62.31 risk score makes it notably safer than Westchester County (96.18), its most at-risk neighbor, and slightly safer than nearby Washington County (56.62). This regional variation shows that proximity alone doesn't determine disaster risk—local geography and infrastructure play critical roles.

Earthquakes and hurricanes top the list

Earthquake risk (65.20) and hurricane risk (67.21) represent Warren County's highest threats, both driven by the county's location and regional seismic activity. Flood risk also reaches 71.53, making water-related hazards a secondary concern for residents in low-lying areas and near waterways.

Ensure comprehensive disaster insurance

Warren County residents should prioritize earthquake and flood insurance, as standard homeowners policies typically exclude both. Given the county's moderate risk profile, a bundled approach covering flood, earthquake, and wind damage provides cost-effective protection across your top three hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Warren County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    67th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    65th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Warren County

Risk Verdict

Warren County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 62th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Warren County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Warren County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 67th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (65th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Warren County's top natural hazard is flood risk, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally. Homeowners here should confirm whether they are in a FEMA-designated flood zone and check if standard homeowners insurance covers flood damage — it typically does not. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 67th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. For most Warren County households, the highest-return preparedness step is storing critical documents in digital cloud backup combined with a pre-designated family meeting point if communication is disrupted.

Regional Context

The New York county average exceeds Warren County's score by 7.1 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Warren County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Warren County, NY?
Warren County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 62th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Warren County?
Warren County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (72th percentile), hurricane (67th percentile), earthquake (65th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Warren County risk compare to the New York average?
Warren County's composite risk percentile is 62th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Warren County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Warren County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Warren County's flooding risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Warren County a safe place to live?
Warren County's composite risk score of 62th percentile is below the New York state average of 69th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 72th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.