riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Wayne County Disaster Risk

Wayne County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

56th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#48

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

72th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Wayne County, New York

Wayne County significantly below national risk

At a composite risk score of 56.27, Wayne County ranks as relatively low risk—well beneath the national average for natural disaster exposure. This favorable standing reflects a county where localized hazards exist but remain manageable compared to higher-risk regions across the United States.

Second safest in the comparison set

Wayne County's 56.27 score sits meaningfully below New York's state average of 69.42, ranking it among the state's lower-risk counties. This position demonstrates that despite New York's overall hazard exposure, certain counties have successfully mitigated or avoided major disaster threats.

Nearly identical to Washington County

Wayne County (56.27) and Washington County (56.62) show remarkably similar risk profiles, both substantially safer than Warren County (62.31) and far safer than Westchester County (96.18). This clustering of upstate counties suggests shared regional advantages in disaster resilience.

Floods and wildfires most pressing

Flood risk (72.33) represents Wayne County's single highest threat, while wildfire risk (40.33) stands unusually elevated compared to neighboring counties—a reflection of local landscape conditions. Tornado risk (38.26) adds a tertiary concern typical of upstate New York's climate patterns.

Prioritize flood and wildfire insurance

Wayne County residents should secure comprehensive flood insurance immediately, as it's your leading hazard exposure. Adding wildfire/property coverage riders to your homeowners policy provides protection against your two most significant disaster risks.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Wayne County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    57th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    55th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Wayne County

Risk Verdict

Wayne County's FEMA risk score places it at the 56th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Wayne County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 57th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (55th percentile), wildfire (40th percentile), tornado (38th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 72th percentile nationally for flood risk, Wayne County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 57th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Wayne County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

At 13.2 points below the New York state average, Wayne County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Wayne County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Wayne County, NY?
Wayne County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 56th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Wayne County?
Wayne County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (72th percentile), hurricane (57th percentile), earthquake (55th percentile), wildfire (40th percentile), tornado (38th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Wayne County risk compare to the New York average?
Wayne County's composite risk percentile is 56th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Wayne County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Wayne County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Wayne County's flooding risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Wayne County a safe place to live?
Wayne County's composite risk score of 56th percentile is below the New York state average of 69th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 72th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.