riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Caldwell County Disaster Risk

Caldwell County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

67th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#56

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Caldwell County, North Carolina

Caldwell risk roughly matches national average

Caldwell County scores 67.43 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the relatively low category near the national average. This makes Caldwell one of North Carolina's safer regions, though residents should not overlook flood and tornado exposure.

Below-average risk among state counties

Caldwell ranks in the lower-risk tier of North Carolina counties with a composite score of 67.43, barely above the state average of 66.72. The county's inland mountain position shields residents from coastal hazards while exposing them to localized flooding.

Safest risk profile in western region

Caldwell (67.43) and Burke (70.17) form the lower-risk pair in western North Carolina, substantially safer than Buncombe (89.34) to their east. Both counties benefit from inland elevation despite sharing moderate flood and tornado risks.

Floods and earthquakes top hazard list

Caldwell's primary risks are flood (79.01) and earthquake (77.64), reflecting mountain terrain and Appalachian seismic activity, while tornado risk (62.09) remains moderate. Wildfire exposure (51.97) is notably low compared to other county risks.

Standard insurance handles most scenarios

Caldwell residents should maintain homeowners' insurance with wind coverage for tornadoes and flood insurance near waterways or in designated flood zones. An emergency kit with water, first aid, and medications provides low-cost protection for most natural disasters.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Caldwell County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    66th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Caldwell County

Risk Verdict

Caldwell County's FEMA risk score places it at the 67th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Caldwell County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (66th percentile), tornado (62th percentile), wildfire (52th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 79th percentile nationally for flood risk, Caldwell County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, earthquake at the 78th percentile nationally, means Caldwell County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Caldwell County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

Caldwell County sits within 0.7 composite points of the North Carolina state average, suggesting the county's hazard exposure is representative of the broader regional pattern.

Is your household prepared for Caldwell County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Caldwell County, NC?
Caldwell County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 67th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Caldwell County?
Caldwell County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (79th percentile), earthquake (78th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), tornado (62th percentile), wildfire (52th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Caldwell County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Caldwell County's composite risk percentile is 67th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Caldwell County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Caldwell County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Caldwell County's flooding risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Caldwell County higher risk than average?
Caldwell County's composite risk score of 67th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (79th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane and tornado and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.