riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Harnett County Disaster Risk

Harnett County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

75th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#43

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

74th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 74% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Harnett County, North Carolina

Harnett's risk aligns with U.S. average

Harnett County scores 75.29 on the composite risk index, landing it squarely in the Relatively Low category and near the national median. Residents face typical American-level disaster exposure rather than exceptional vulnerability.

Middle of the pack in North Carolina

At 75.29, Harnett ranks slightly above North Carolina's average of 66.72, placing it in the mid-range of the state's 100 counties. The county experiences moderate hazard exposure compared to both high-risk and low-risk regions statewide.

Risk comparable to nearby counties

Harnett (75.29) sits between Halifax (72.90) to the east and Lee County to the west, with similar exposure patterns. Neighboring Johnson and Wake counties show slightly different risk profiles despite geographic proximity.

Hurricanes and tornadoes create compound threat

Harnett faces a hurricane risk of 88.86 and tornado risk of 87.09, making tropical systems and spring severe weather the dominant concerns. Wildfire risk (69.05) has increased in recent years and warrants attention during dry seasons.

Multi-hazard insurance strategy recommended

Given hurricane (88.86) and tornado (87.09) risks, ensure your homeowners policy explicitly covers wind damage and consider additional wildfire protection. Flood insurance is a separate purchase but worth evaluating given the county's 73.92 flood risk score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Harnett County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    89th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    74th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Harnett County

Risk Verdict

Harnett County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 75th percentile across all U.S. counties. Harnett County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Harnett County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (74th percentile), wildfire (69th percentile), earthquake (66th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 89th percentile nationally for hurricane risk, Harnett County is in a zone where flood insurance matters beyond the primary wind risk: NFIP flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period before taking effect, making off-season enrollment the correct timing. Tornado at the 87th percentile nationally is Harnett County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. For Harnett County households, the hurricane preparedness calendar matters: flood insurance has a 30-day waiting period, wind-hardening retrofits take weeks to schedule, and evacuation route scouting is best done before a storm watch is issued.

Regional Context

A composite score 8.6 points above the North Carolina state average puts Harnett County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Harnett County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Harnett County, NC?
Harnett County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 75th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Harnett County?
Harnett County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (89th percentile), tornado (87th percentile), flooding (74th percentile), wildfire (69th percentile), earthquake (66th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Harnett County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Harnett County's composite risk percentile is 75th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Harnett County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Harnett County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Harnett County's hurricane risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Harnett County is at the 74th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Harnett County higher risk than average?
Harnett County's composite risk score of 75th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (89th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.