riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Johnston County Disaster Risk

Johnston County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

86th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

87th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Johnston County, North Carolina

Johnston County faces Relatively Moderate risk nationally

Johnston County's composite score of 85.56 places it in the Relatively Moderate category, well above both the national and state averages. This elevated exposure spans tornadoes, floods, and hurricanes, making Johnston one of North Carolina's higher-risk counties overall.

Johnston ranks among North Carolina's riskiest

At 85.56, Johnston's composite score significantly exceeds the state average of 66.72, positioning it as one of the highest-risk counties in North Carolina. The Relatively Moderate rating reflects serious multi-hazard exposure that demands proactive preparedness.

Johnston faces notably higher risks than surrounding counties

Johnston's 85.56 score substantially exceeds neighboring Lee County (67.49) and Lincoln County (73.76), making it the riskiest county in its immediate region. The gap is driven by Johnston's extreme tornado risk of 93.64 and elevated hurricane exposure at 86.32.

Tornadoes and hurricanes drive Johnston's high risk

Tornado risk reaches 93.64 in Johnston—the highest hazard score county-wide—while hurricane risk climbs to 86.32, both far exceeding state norms. Flood risk also ranks high at 87.09, creating a trio of water and wind threats that dominate the county's hazard profile.

Multi-hazard coverage is non-negotiable in Johnston

Johnston residents must carry comprehensive homeowners insurance that includes flood, wind, and hail protection to address the county's severe tornado and hurricane exposure. Review your coverage limits before storm season, identify a safe shelter space in your home, and maintain a current emergency action plan.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Johnston County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    86th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Johnston County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 86th percentile, Johnston County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Johnston County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Johnston County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (86th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 94th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Johnston County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. The secondary flood hazard at the 87th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Johnston County's preparedness calendar, since flood and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. For Johnston County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

At 18.8 points above the North Carolina state average, Johnston County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical North Carolina county.

Is your household prepared for Johnston County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Johnston County, NC?
Johnston County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 86th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Johnston County?
Johnston County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (94th percentile), flooding (87th percentile), hurricane (86th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Johnston County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Johnston County's composite risk percentile is 86th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Johnston County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Johnston County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Johnston County's tornado risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Johnston County is at the 87th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Johnston County higher risk than average?
Johnston County's composite risk score of 86th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (94th percentile), along with flooding and hurricane and earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.