riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McDowell County Disaster Risk

McDowell County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

59th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#69

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

72th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McDowell County, North Carolina

McDowell County faces diverse mountain hazards

McDowell County scores 59.22 on the composite risk scale with a "Relatively Low" rating, sitting just below North Carolina's 66.72 state average. However, the county experiences elevated risk across multiple hazard types, including floods (72.49), earthquakes (61.83), and wildfires (59.35), reflecting its mountainous terrain and exposure to diverse natural threats.

Above-average risk for a western mountain county

McDowell County ranks in the upper-middle tier of North Carolina counties, with flood risk (72.49) among the state's highest due to steep terrain and river systems. Despite being a smaller, rural county, its hazard profile is more complex than many larger piedmont counties.

Riskier than Madison and Mitchell counties

McDowell County's 59.22 score significantly exceeds nearby Madison County (27.35) and Mitchell County (23.95), making it noticeably more hazardous despite shared mountain geography. The difference reflects McDowell's higher flood vulnerability and more diverse hazard exposure across its valleys and ridge systems.

Floods and wildfires dominate the risk profile

Flooding is McDowell County's primary hazard at 72.49, driven by steep mountainous terrain, heavy precipitation, and river systems that swell rapidly during storms. Wildfire risk (59.35) and earthquake risk (61.83) round out the county's top three threats, creating a compound hazard environment that demands multi-layered preparedness.

Prioritize flood and wildfire preparedness

McDowell County homeowners should verify they have flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program, particularly if located in or near flood-prone valleys and stream corridors. Combine this with defensible space around structures, regular gutter cleaning, and a home emergency kit to address flood, wildfire, and earthquake risks simultaneously.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McDowell County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    62th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    61th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McDowell County

Risk Verdict

McDowell County's FEMA risk score places it at the 59th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is McDowell County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 62th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (61th percentile), wildfire (59th percentile), tornado (56th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 72th percentile nationally for flood risk, McDowell County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, earthquake at the 62th percentile nationally, means McDowell County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to McDowell County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

At 7.5 points below the North Carolina state average, McDowell County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for McDowell County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McDowell County, NC?
McDowell County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 59th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McDowell County?
McDowell County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (72th percentile), earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (61th percentile), wildfire (59th percentile), tornado (56th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McDowell County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
McDowell County's composite risk percentile is 59th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McDowell County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is McDowell County at risk for flooding?
Yes, McDowell County's flooding risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is McDowell County a safe place to live?
McDowell County's composite risk score of 59th percentile is below the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 72th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.