riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Barnes County Disaster Risk

Barnes County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

46th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

41th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 41% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 5% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Barnes County, North Dakota

Barnes County faces above-average risk

Barnes County scores 45.90 on the composite risk scale, making it Relatively Low but well above the national average for disaster exposure. This score reflects multiple significant hazards converging in this region, warranting greater preparedness than typical counties.

Notably riskier than most North Dakota counties

With a composite score of 45.90, Barnes County ranks among the highest-risk counties in North Dakota, significantly exceeding the state average of 22.19. Residents experience roughly double the multi-hazard exposure of a typical North Dakota county.

Highest risk in this subregion

Barnes County's 45.90 score is substantially higher than neighboring Benson County (24.27) and far exceeds the safest counties in the state like Bowman (2.10) and Burke (1.05). This county faces notably greater compound disaster risks than its immediate surroundings.

Flood and wildfire threats compound

Flooding (41.28) and wildfire (65.43) are Barnes County's dominant hazards, each exceeding state averages and creating overlapping seasonal risks. Tornado risk (41.76) adds a third significant threat, making spring through fall a particularly active hazard season.

Comprehensive coverage is essential

Barnes County residents should prioritize flood insurance (41.28 risk) and wildfire protection in their homeowner policies, given the county's above-average exposure. Consider a separate flood policy to ensure adequate protection, especially if your property is near waterways or in drainage areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Barnes County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    65th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    42th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    41th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Barnes County

Risk Verdict

Barnes County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 46th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Residents of Barnes County can use the 46th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Barnes County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 65th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 42th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (41th percentile), earthquake (5th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Barnes County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 65th percentile nationally. Barnes County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. A secondary tornado exposure at the 42th percentile nationally means Barnes County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. For Barnes County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Barnes County's composite risk score sits 23.7 points above the North Dakota county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Barnes County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Barnes County, ND?
Barnes County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 46th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Barnes County?
Barnes County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (65th percentile), tornado (42th percentile), flooding (41th percentile), earthquake (5th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 65th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Barnes County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Barnes County's composite risk percentile is 46th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Barnes County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is Barnes County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Barnes County's wildfire risk is at the 65th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Barnes County is at the 41th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Barnes County higher risk than average?
Barnes County's composite risk score of 46th percentile is above the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (65th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.