riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Grand Forks County Disaster Risk

Grand Forks County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

58th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#5

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

62th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Grand Forks County, North Dakota

Grand Forks Faces Above-Average Risk

Grand Forks County's composite risk score of 57.67 earns a Relatively Low rating, but it's substantially higher than the national average. The county faces meaningful exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly flooding and severe weather.

North Dakota's Highest-Risk County

Grand Forks County ranks as the highest-risk county in North Dakota with a composite score of 57.67, more than double the state average of 22.19. This position reflects the county's vulnerability to flood, tornado, and wildfire hazards.

Significantly Riskier Than Surrounding Counties

Grand Forks County's 57.67 risk score dwarfs neighboring Golden Valley (13.07) and Grant (14.79), making it a notable outlier in the region. The Red River valley geography that defines the county creates elevated flood exposure its neighbors don't share.

Flooding, Tornadoes, and Wildfire Threats

Grand Forks County faces triple hazard exposure: flood risk at 61.70, tornado risk at 60.66, and wildfire risk at 55.31. These overlapping vulnerabilities require comprehensive preparation and insurance planning year-round.

Multi-Hazard Insurance Essential Here

Grand Forks County residents must secure comprehensive coverage including flood insurance (often excluded from standard homeowners policies) and adequate protection against wind and tornado damage. Consider an umbrella policy to close gaps across your flood, wind, and wildfire exposures.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Grand Forks County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    62th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    61th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    55th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Grand Forks County

Risk Verdict

Grand Forks County's FEMA risk score places it at the 58th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Grand Forks County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 62th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 61th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (55th percentile), earthquake (13th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 62th percentile nationally for flood risk, Grand Forks County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, tornado at the 61th percentile nationally, means Grand Forks County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Grand Forks County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The North Dakota county average is 35.5 composite points below Grand Forks County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Grand Forks County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Grand Forks County, ND?
Grand Forks County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 58th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Grand Forks County?
Grand Forks County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (62th percentile), tornado (61th percentile), wildfire (55th percentile), earthquake (13th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 62th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Grand Forks County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Grand Forks County's composite risk percentile is 58th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Grand Forks County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is Grand Forks County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Grand Forks County's flooding risk is at the 62th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Grand Forks County higher risk than average?
Grand Forks County's composite risk score of 58th percentile is above the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (62th percentile), along with tornado and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.