riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McKenzie County Disaster Risk

McKenzie County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

25th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#17

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

15th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McKenzie County, North Dakota

McKenzie's disaster risk stays very low

McKenzie County's composite score of 25.03 places it in the Very Low risk category, comfortably below typical U.S. county exposure levels. The county benefits from relatively distributed, moderate hazards rather than concentrated severe risks.

McKenzie ranks slightly above state average

At 25.03, McKenzie's composite risk slightly exceeds North Dakota's average of 22.19, but the difference is modest and the Very Low rating holds firm. This positions McKenzie in the lower-to-middle range of state county risk.

Similar risk to Mountrail; safer than McLean

McKenzie's score of 25.03 closely matches Mountrail County (21.37) and sits well below McLean County (43.10) and Morton County (49.59). Among northwestern counties, McKenzie ranks as one of the safer options.

Wildfire and tornado exposure most notable

Wildfire risk is elevated at 77.35, while tornado risk reaches 33.14—the two hazards requiring the most attention. Flood risk remains modest at 15.30, and earthquake risk is minimal.

Bundle wildfire and tornado preparedness

Verify your homeowners policy covers both wildfire and wind/hail damage from tornadoes, as McKenzie faces dual exposure to these events. Maintain defensible space around structures and identify safe rooms for severe weather.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McKenzie County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    77th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    33th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    15th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McKenzie County

Risk Verdict

McKenzie County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 25th percentile nationally. Even at the 25th percentile, McKenzie County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is McKenzie County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 77th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 33th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (15th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 77th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, McKenzie County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. The county's tornado exposure at the 33th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for McKenzie County residents.

Regional Context

McKenzie County tracks the North Dakota county average closely, sitting 2.8 composite points above the state mean — neither a standout high-risk nor low-risk county within North Dakota.

Is your household prepared for McKenzie County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McKenzie County, ND?
McKenzie County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 25th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McKenzie County?
McKenzie County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (77th percentile), tornado (33th percentile), flooding (15th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 77th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McKenzie County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
McKenzie County's composite risk percentile is 25th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means McKenzie County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is McKenzie County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, McKenzie County's wildfire risk is at the 77th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, McKenzie County is at the 15th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is McKenzie County higher risk than average?
McKenzie County's composite risk score of 25th percentile is above the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (77th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.