riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Erie County Disaster Risk

Erie County, Ohio

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

61th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#38

of 88 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

72th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Erie County, Ohio

Erie County's moderate disaster exposure

Erie County scores 61.35 on the composite risk scale, earning a 'Relatively Low' rating that slightly exceeds national averages. The county faces meaningful but manageable natural disaster vulnerability across multiple hazard types.

Above-average risk for northern Ohio

At 61.35, Erie County's risk score exceeds Ohio's state average of 55.03 by about 11%, reflecting the county's Lake Erie proximity and associated water-related hazards. The county represents moderate-to-high risk in Ohio's broader risk landscape.

Elevated risk along Lake Erie shore

Erie County (61.35) faces higher disaster risk than nearby Crawford County (35.24) and Defiance County (41.89), reflecting its lakefront location. The county's risk profile falls between rural inland counties and heavily urbanized areas like Cuyahoga County (98.00).

Tornadoes, floods, and lake-related hazards

Tornado risk (77.93) and flood risk (71.79) represent Erie County's primary concerns, both in the elevated range. Earthquake risk (62.09) and hurricane risk (49.90) add secondary layers of exposure, while wildfire risk (23.03) remains minimal.

Prioritize water and wind protection

Erie County residents should maintain comprehensive flood insurance and storm-rated windows or shutters for tornado protection. Given the county's Lake Erie proximity, ensure property drainage is adequate and consider elevation or flood-proofing for structures in vulnerable areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Erie County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    78th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    72th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    62th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Erie County

Risk Verdict

Erie County's FEMA risk score places it at the 61th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Erie County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 78th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 72th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (50th percentile), wildfire (23th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 78th percentile nationally makes Erie County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 72th percentile nationally means Erie County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Erie County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Ohio county average is 6.3 composite points below Erie County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Erie County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Erie County, OH?
Erie County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 61th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Erie County?
Erie County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (78th percentile), flooding (72th percentile), earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (50th percentile), wildfire (23th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 78th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Erie County risk compare to the Ohio average?
Erie County's composite risk percentile is 61th, compared to the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Erie County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Ohio.
Is Erie County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Erie County's tornado risk is at the 78th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Erie County is at the 72th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Erie County higher risk than average?
Erie County's composite risk score of 61th percentile is above the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (78th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.