riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Trumbull County Disaster Risk

Trumbull County, Ohio

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

84th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 88 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Trumbull County, Ohio

Trumbull faces elevated national risk

Trumbull County's composite risk score of 84.48 places it in the relatively moderate category, well above the national average and among the country's higher-risk counties. This elevated exposure spans multiple disaster types affecting residents comprehensively.

Second-highest risk in Ohio

Trumbull County's 84.48 score ranks it as Ohio's second-most-hazardous county after Summit, significantly exceeding the state average of 55.03. Only Summit County faces greater composite risk statewide.

Trumbull leads risk in northeastern cluster

Trumbull's 84.48 score exceeds Stark (87.95) narrowly but towers above Tuscarawas (69.02), establishing it as a major-risk node in Ohio's northeast. Its notably high hurricane risk of 69.38 distinguishes it from inland neighbors.

Tornadoes and floods top threats

Trumbull County residents face severe tornado risk (90.84) and extreme flood risk (88.77), creating urgent dual hazards. Hurricane risk of 69.38 is remarkably high for an inland Ohio county, adding a third significant concern.

Flood and wind coverage essential

Trumbull residents must purchase separate flood insurance and verify homeowner's policies provide robust tornado and wind protection. Given the county's exceptional multi-hazard profile, annual policy reviews with your agent are critical.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Trumbull County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    69th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Local Resources

Risk Advisory: Trumbull County

Risk Verdict

At the 84th percentile nationally, Trumbull County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Trumbull County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Trumbull County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (69th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 91th percentile nationally makes Trumbull County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Flood is the second hazard driver for Trumbull County at the 89th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and flood-specific warning systems. In Trumbull County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Ohio county average is 29.5 composite points below Trumbull County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Trumbull County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Trumbull County, OH?
Trumbull County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 84th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Trumbull County?
Trumbull County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (91th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), hurricane (69th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Trumbull County risk compare to the Ohio average?
Trumbull County's composite risk percentile is 84th, compared to the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Trumbull County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Ohio.
Is Trumbull County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Trumbull County's tornado risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Trumbull County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Trumbull County higher risk than average?
Trumbull County's composite risk score of 84th percentile is above the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (91th percentile), along with flooding and hurricane and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.

Counties with Similar Risk

Mahoning County

Ohio

-0.9

Relatively Moderate

84th percentile

Lorain County

Ohio

+1.8

Relatively Moderate

86th percentile

Stark County

Ohio

+3.5

Relatively Moderate

88th percentile

By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.

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