riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mayes County Disaster Risk

Mayes County, Oklahoma

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

78th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#18

of 77 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

76th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mayes County, Oklahoma

Mayes County faces above-average risk

With a composite risk score of 77.58, Mayes County earns a "Relatively Low" rating but exceeds the national average across multiple hazard types. The county's multi-faceted exposure, particularly to flood and wildfire, distinguishes it from lower-risk areas.

Higher than Oklahoma's average risk

Mayes County's 77.58 score substantially exceeds Oklahoma's state average of 55.47, placing it among the state's higher-risk counties. Flood risk (75.86) is particularly elevated relative to other Oklahoma counties.

Highest risk in its region

Mayes County (77.58) faces significantly more risk than all nearby counties, including Lincoln (71.31) and McCurtain (72.04). Only Logan County (74.68) approaches Mayes County's elevated exposure.

Flood and wildfire pose dual threat

Flood risk scores 75.86 and wildfire 85.62, making them Mayes County's dominant hazards—both well above state averages. Tornado risk (88.30) and earthquake risk (58.91) add significant secondary exposure.

Flood and fire insurance are essential

Homeowners should secure both comprehensive fire coverage and separate flood insurance, as standard policies exclude water damage. Consider elevated or flood-resistant construction measures if rebuilding, and maintain defensible space around structures to reduce wildfire risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mayes County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    88th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    86th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    76th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mayes County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 78th, Mayes County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Mayes County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Mayes County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 88th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 86th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (76th percentile), earthquake (59th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 88th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Mayes County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Wildfire is the second hazard driver for Mayes County at the 86th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and wildfire-specific warning systems. For Mayes County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

At 22.1 points above the Oklahoma state average, Mayes County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Oklahoma county.

Is your household prepared for Mayes County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mayes County, OK?
Mayes County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 78th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mayes County?
Mayes County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (88th percentile), wildfire (86th percentile), flooding (76th percentile), earthquake (59th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 88th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mayes County risk compare to the Oklahoma average?
Mayes County's composite risk percentile is 78th, compared to the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Mayes County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oklahoma.
Is Mayes County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Mayes County's tornado risk is at the 88th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Mayes County is at the 76th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Mayes County higher risk than average?
Mayes County's composite risk score of 78th percentile is above the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (88th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.