Armstrong County Disaster Risk

Armstrong County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

69th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#33

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

85th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Risk Advisory: Armstrong County

Risk Verdict

Armstrong County shows a relatively low overall disaster risk profile, scoring in the 69th percentile nationally. The county faces moderate hazard exposure relative to other U.S. counties. Standard emergency preparedness is recommended, with attention to the specific hazards that dominate locally.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is the dominant hazard for Armstrong County, scoring in the 85th percentile nationally. It is followed by hurricane risk at the 52th percentile. Additional hazards include earthquake (35th), tornado (34th), wildfire (22th).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk as the top concern, Armstrong County residents should review flood insurance needs (standard home insurance does not cover flood damage), know your evacuation zone, and keep important documents waterproofed. Secondary risks such as hurricane also warrant attention in household and community preparedness planning. FEMA recommends all households maintain at least 72 hours of food, water, and medication supplies regardless of specific hazard exposure.

Regional Context

Armstrong County has a disaster risk profile close to the average county in Pennsylvania. Its composite risk score is within 1.9 points of the state average, meaning its overall hazard exposure is broadly representative of Pennsylvania as a whole.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Armstrong County, PA?
Armstrong County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 69th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Armstrong County?
Armstrong County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (85th percentile), hurricane (52th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (34th percentile), wildfire (22th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 85th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Armstrong County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Armstrong County's composite risk percentile is 69th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Armstrong County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Armstrong County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Armstrong County's flooding risk is at the 85th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Armstrong County higher risk than average?
Armstrong County's composite risk score of 69th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (85th percentile), along with hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Logan Johnson, Founder & Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Logan Johnson, Founder & Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.