riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Armstrong County Disaster Risk

Armstrong County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

69th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#33

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

85th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Armstrong County, Pennsylvania

Armstrong County Carries Moderate, Manageable Risk

Armstrong County's composite risk score of 69.34 sits slightly above the national average, earning a relatively low risk rating. While the county does face natural disaster exposure, it ranks among safer regions nationwide and benefits from comparatively low wildfire and tornado threats.

Below-Average Risk Within Pennsylvania

Armstrong County's score of 69.34 exceeds Pennsylvania's 67.45 statewide average by less than 3 points, placing it firmly in the lower-risk half of the state's counties. The county ranks well below more hazardous regions like Allegheny (98.09) or Berks (92.72).

Similar Risk Profile to Central PA Peers

Armstrong County compares closely to neighboring Indiana County and other central Pennsylvania rural communities, all facing relatively low composite risks. Adjacent Butler County experiences slightly higher exposure, while Armstrong residents enjoy lower risks than western urban areas.

Flooding and Hurricanes Drive Exposure

Flood risk ranks highest in Armstrong County at 85.05, reflecting vulnerability to runoff and stream systems across the region. Hurricane risk (52.23) presents a secondary concern, though wildfire (21.98) and tornado (34.16) risks remain manageable compared to state averages.

Prioritize Flood Coverage in Lower-Risk County

Armstrong County residents should secure flood insurance given the 85.05 flood risk, particularly in low-lying and river-adjacent properties. A standard homeowners policy provides adequate tornado and wind protection for most residents, making Armstrong an insurable county without extraordinary premiums.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Armstrong County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    85th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    52th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Armstrong County

Risk Verdict

At the 69th percentile nationally, Armstrong County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Armstrong County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Armstrong County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 52th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (34th percentile), wildfire (22th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Armstrong County's dominant hazard is flooding, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally. In addition to flood insurance, residents should identify their nearest evacuation shelter and store key documents in waterproof containers. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 52th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Armstrong County's county emergency management office publishes hazard-specific guidance tailored to local conditions; bookmarking that resource and the county's alert system is a practical first step for any household.

Regional Context

At 1.9 points from the Pennsylvania county mean, Armstrong County's overall disaster risk profile is close to typical for this state, with no dramatic deviation in either direction.

Is your household prepared for Armstrong County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Armstrong County, PA?
Armstrong County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 69th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Armstrong County?
Armstrong County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (85th percentile), hurricane (52th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (34th percentile), wildfire (22th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 85th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Armstrong County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Armstrong County's composite risk percentile is 69th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Armstrong County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Armstrong County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Armstrong County's flooding risk is at the 85th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Armstrong County higher risk than average?
Armstrong County's composite risk score of 69th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (85th percentile), along with hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.