riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bedford County Disaster Risk

Bedford County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

68th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#35

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

84th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bedford County, Pennsylvania

Bedford County Sits Just Above National Average Risk

Bedford County's composite risk score of 68.23 sits marginally above the national average, maintaining a relatively low risk rating. The county experiences modest natural disaster exposure comparable to many American communities, with particular vulnerability to hurricanes and flooding.

Barely Above Pennsylvania's Statewide Average

Bedford County's score of 68.23 sits just 0.78 points above Pennsylvania's 67.45 statewide average, placing it squarely in the middle tier of state risk. The county ranks well below higher-risk neighbors and benefits from relatively low tornado exposure.

Lower Risk Than Regional Peer Counties

Bedford County faces lower hazard exposure than neighboring Blair County (77.67) and Fulton County, maintaining one of the safer profiles in south-central Pennsylvania. The county benefits from rural character and modest population density compared to urban neighbors.

Hurricanes and Flooding Pose Primary Threats

Hurricane risk ranks highest in Bedford County at 77.81, reflecting Atlantic storm system vulnerability despite inland location. Flood risk follows at 83.97, while tornado (26.02) and wildfire (29.23) risks remain well below state averages.

Flood and Wind Coverage Recommended

Bedford County residents should secure flood insurance given the county's 83.97 flood risk, particularly in areas near streams and run-off zones. Ensure your homeowners policy covers wind and hurricane damage (77.81 risk), and consider an umbrella policy for additional protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bedford County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    84th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    44th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bedford County

Risk Verdict

Bedford County ranks at the 68th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Bedford County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 84th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (44th percentile), wildfire (29th percentile), tornado (26th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Bedford County sits at the 84th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 78th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Regardless of specific hazard, Bedford County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

The county's composite score diverges by only 0.8 points from the Pennsylvania average, making Bedford County's hazard profile broadly typical for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Bedford County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bedford County, PA?
Bedford County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 68th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bedford County?
Bedford County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (84th percentile), hurricane (78th percentile), earthquake (44th percentile), wildfire (29th percentile), tornado (26th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 84th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bedford County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Bedford County's composite risk percentile is 68th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Bedford County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Bedford County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Bedford County's flooding risk is at the 84th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bedford County higher risk than average?
Bedford County's composite risk score of 68th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (84th percentile), along with hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.