riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Dauphin County Disaster Risk

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#11

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 80% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

Dauphin faces high national disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 91.06, Dauphin ranks in the upper tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, earning a Relatively Moderate rating. The county faces critically high flooding (94.78), tornadoes (79.80), earthquakes (87.28), and hurricane risk (89.19) simultaneously.

Highest-risk county in Pennsylvania

Dauphin's 91.06 score marginally exceeds Delaware County (92.91) to place it among Pennsylvania's two most hazard-exposed counties, far surpassing the state average of 67.45. This exceptional risk concentration results from the county's central geography, seismic proximity, and vulnerability to multiple severe weather corridors.

Risk epicenter of central Pennsylvania

Dauphin (91.06) faces catastrophically higher composite risk than neighboring Clearfield (67.11) or Columbia (62.05) counties, making it the hazard hotspot of the central region. Only adjacent Delaware County matches or exceeds Dauphin's multifaceted disaster exposure profile.

Flooding and tornadoes pose extreme threats

Flood risk of 94.78 represents the county's single greatest natural hazard, while tornado risk of 79.80 and earthquake risk of 87.28 create compounding seasonal and geological threats. Together with hurricane risk of 89.19, Dauphin residents face a hazardscape more complex than nearly any other Pennsylvania county.

Comprehensive disaster preparedness is critical

Flood insurance is non-negotiable at the 94.78 flood risk score; this is your single most important protection in Dauphin County. Add earthquake coverage (87.28 risk) and reinforce your roof and foundation for tornadoes (79.80 risk), then develop a multi-hazard family evacuation plan and maintain emergency supplies for extended isolation.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Dauphin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    87th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Dauphin County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 91th percentile, Dauphin County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Dauphin County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Dauphin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (87th percentile), tornado (80th percentile), wildfire (39th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 95th percentile nationally, Dauphin County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 89th percentile nationally, means Dauphin County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Registering for Dauphin County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

At 23.6 points above the Pennsylvania state average, Dauphin County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Pennsylvania county.

Is your household prepared for Dauphin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Dauphin County, PA?
Dauphin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Dauphin County?
Dauphin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (95th percentile), hurricane (89th percentile), earthquake (87th percentile), tornado (80th percentile), wildfire (39th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Dauphin County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Dauphin County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Dauphin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Dauphin County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Dauphin County's flooding risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Dauphin County higher risk than average?
Dauphin County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (95th percentile), along with hurricane and earthquake and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.