riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

York County Disaster Risk

York County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

90th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#12

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

93th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 41% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in York County, Pennsylvania

York County faces substantial disaster risk

York County's composite risk score of 90.43 ranks it as relatively moderate but places it well above the national average of approximately 50. This elevated score reflects notable exposure across multiple hazard categories, making comprehensive preparedness essential.

Among the highest-risk counties in Pennsylvania

With a score of 90.43, York County exceeds Pennsylvania's state average of 67.45 by 22.98 points, positioning it near the top of the state's at-risk county list. Only a handful of Pennsylvania counties face comparable overall disaster threat levels.

York outpaced by Westmoreland in risk profile

York County's 90.43 score closely mirrors Westmoreland County's 87.85, making both Southeast and Southwest Pennsylvania regional disaster hotspots. Both substantially exceed nearby Wyoming County's score of 44.78, reflecting geographic variation in natural hazard exposure.

Hurricanes, earthquakes, and flooding converge

York County faces an unusual triple threat: hurricane risk of 92.37, earthquake risk of 87.98, and flood risk of 93.32—all near-critical levels. This convergence of hazards reflects the county's susceptibility to Atlantic coastal storms, seismic activity along regional fault lines, and vulnerable water infrastructure.

Comprehensive insurance essential for York residents

Standard homeowners policies exclude both flood and earthquake damage, yet both pose substantial threats with scores above 87. Immediately secure separate flood insurance and explore earthquake coverage options—together, these endorsements address York County's most pressing vulnerabilities and protect against catastrophic financial loss.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in York County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    93th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    88th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: York County

Risk Verdict

York County faces a moderate natural disaster risk profile, ranking at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's composite risk model. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is York County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 93th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (88th percentile), tornado (48th percentile), wildfire (41th percentile).

Preparedness Context

York County's top natural hazard is flood risk, ranked at the 93th percentile nationally. Homeowners here should confirm whether they are in a FEMA-designated flood zone and check if standard homeowners insurance covers flood damage — it typically does not. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 92th percentile nationally, means York County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. For most York County households, the highest-return preparedness step is storing critical documents in digital cloud backup combined with a pre-designated family meeting point if communication is disrupted.

Regional Context

York County's composite risk score sits 23.0 points above the Pennsylvania county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for York County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in York County, PA?
York County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 90th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect York County?
York County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (93th percentile), hurricane (92th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), tornado (48th percentile), wildfire (41th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 93th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does York County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
York County's composite risk percentile is 90th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means York County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is York County at risk for flooding?
Yes, York County's flooding risk is at the 93th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is York County higher risk than average?
York County's composite risk score of 90th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (93th percentile), along with hurricane and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.