riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Forest County Disaster Risk

Forest County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#63

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

44th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 5% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Forest County, Pennsylvania

Forest County sits among safest counties

With a composite risk score of just 19.91, Forest County ranks in the bottom 5% nationally for natural disaster risk—a "Very Low" rating. This stands in sharp contrast to the typical U.S. county and makes Forest one of the nation's safer places from a hazard perspective.

Lowest-risk county in Pennsylvania

Forest County's 19.91 composite score is by far the lowest in Pennsylvania, where the state average sits at 67.45. This represents less than 30% of the state average, reflecting exceptional protection across most hazard types.

Dramatically safer than surrounding counties

Forest's 19.91 score is a fraction of neighboring Warren County and Venango County's exposure. The county's remote, sparsely populated geography and distance from major fault lines and coastal areas drive this unusually low risk profile.

Hurricane risk outpaces all other hazards

Even in low-risk Forest County, hurricane risk ranks highest at 52.07, though this remains moderate compared to coastal states. Wildfire risk is negligible at 4.77, and tornado risk minimal at 13.99.

Standard homeowner's insurance sufficient

Forest County residents can rely on standard homeowner's insurance policies without specialized flood or wildfire riders. An annual policy review remains prudent, but Forest offers natural disaster protection that most American counties cannot match.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Forest County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    52th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    44th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    20th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Forest County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Forest County ranks at the 20th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. Even at the 20th percentile, Forest County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Forest County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 52th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 44th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (20th percentile), tornado (14th percentile), wildfire (5th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With hurricane ranked at the 52th percentile nationally, Forest County sits in a zone where multi-day supply readiness matters: grid outages after landfalling storms can last one to three weeks in heavily affected areas. Flood at the 44th percentile nationally is Forest County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. Insurance gaps are the most common post-hurricane financial shock: standard homeowners policies typically exclude flood damage and may have a separate wind deductible. Forest County households benefit from a pre-season insurance review confirming both wind and flood coverage.

Regional Context

At 47.5 points below the Pennsylvania state average, Forest County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Forest County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Forest County, PA?
Forest County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Forest County?
Forest County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (52th percentile), flooding (44th percentile), earthquake (20th percentile), tornado (14th percentile), wildfire (5th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 52th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Forest County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Forest County's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Forest County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Forest County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Forest County's hurricane risk is at the 52th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Forest County is at the 44th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Forest County a safe place to live?
Forest County's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 52th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.